Bears vs. Seahawks

$250.3K Vol
2026年11月3日
Active
概率趋势
Bears 75.0%
Seahawks 25.0%

核心摘要

根据「Bears vs. Seahawks」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -1.5 以压倒性的 6,350% 获胜概率主导市场;Bears vs. Seahawks 以 6,150% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 6,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $250.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (6,350%):Spread -1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Bears vs. Seahawks (6,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Bears vs. Seahawks 保持着 6,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,150¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (6,050%):以 6,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (5,750%)、Spread -4.5 (5,450%),以及 Spread -5.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1H O/U 16.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
2Bears vs. Seahawks6150.0%$156150¢-6050¢
3Spread -2.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
4Spread -3.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
5Spread -4.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
6Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
71H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
81H O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
91H O/U 22.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
101H O/U 25.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
111H O/U 28.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
122H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
132H O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
142H O/U 22.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
152H O/U 25.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
162H O/U 28.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
171H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
181H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
191H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
201H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
211H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
221H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
231H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
241H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
251H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
261H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
271H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
281H Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
291H Spread -16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
301H Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
311H Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
321H Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
331H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
341H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
361H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
371H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
381H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
391H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
401H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
411H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
421H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
431H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
441H Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
451H Spread -16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
461H Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
471H Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
481H Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -2.55000.0%$13.7K5000¢-4900¢
512H Spread -3.55000.0%$10.6K5000¢-4900¢
522H Spread -4.55000.0%$12.6K5000¢-4900¢
532H Spread -5.55000.0%$11.5K5000¢-4900¢
542H Spread -6.55000.0%$5.8K5000¢-4900¢
552H Spread -7.55000.0%$10.9K5000¢-4900¢
562H Spread -8.55000.0%$13.6K5000¢-4900¢
572H Spread -9.55000.0%$15.2K5000¢-4900¢
582H Spread -10.55000.0%$16.5K5000¢-4900¢
592H Spread -13.55000.0%$17.4K5000¢-4900¢
602H Spread -14.55000.0%$18.6K5000¢-4900¢
612H Spread -16.55000.0%$1.4K5000¢-4900¢
622H Spread -17.55000.0%$20.5K5000¢-4900¢
632H Spread -20.55000.0%$17.3K5000¢-4900¢
642H Spread -21.55000.0%$21.5K5000¢-4900¢
652H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
662H Spread -2.55000.0%$13.7K5000¢-4900¢
672H Spread -3.55000.0%$10.6K5000¢-4900¢
682H Spread -4.55000.0%$12.6K5000¢-4900¢
692H Spread -5.55000.0%$11.5K5000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -6.55000.0%$5.8K5000¢-4900¢
712H Spread -7.55000.0%$10.9K5000¢-4900¢
722H Spread -8.55000.0%$13.6K5000¢-4900¢
732H Spread -9.55000.0%$15.2K5000¢-4900¢
742H Spread -10.55000.0%$16.5K5000¢-4900¢
752H Spread -13.55000.0%$17.4K5000¢-4900¢
762H Spread -14.55000.0%$18.6K5000¢-4900¢
772H Spread -17.55000.0%$20.5K5000¢-4900¢
782H Spread -20.55000.0%$17.3K5000¢-4900¢
792H Spread -21.55000.0%$21.5K5000¢-4900¢
801Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
811Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
821Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
831Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
841Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
851Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
861Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
871Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
881Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
891Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
901Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
911Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
921Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
931Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
941Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
951Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
961Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
971Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
982Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
992Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1002Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1012Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1022Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1032Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1042Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1052Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1062Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1072Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1082Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1092Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1102Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1112Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1122Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1142Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1163Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1173Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1183Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1193Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1203Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1213Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1223Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1253Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1263Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1273Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1283Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1293Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1303Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1313Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1323Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1354Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1364Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1374Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1404Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1414Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1424Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1434Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1444Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1454Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1464Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1521Q O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1531Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1541Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1551Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1561Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1571Q O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582Q O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1592Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1602Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1612Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1632Q O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1643Q O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1653Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1663Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1673Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1683Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1693Q O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1704Q O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1714Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1724Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1734Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1744Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1754Q O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
176Bears O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
177Bears O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
178Bears O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
179Bears O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
180Bears O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
181Bears O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
182Bears O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
183Bears O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
184Bears O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
185Bears O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
186Bears O/U 34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
187Seahawks O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
188Seahawks O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
189Seahawks O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
190Seahawks O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
191Seahawks O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192Seahawks O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
193Seahawks O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
194Seahawks O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
195Seahawks O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
196Seahawks O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
197Seahawks O/U 34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
198Bears 1H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
199Bears 1H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
200Bears 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
201Bears 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202Bears 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
203Bears 1H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
204Bears 1H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
205Bears 1H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
206Seahawks 1H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
207Seahawks 1H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
208Seahawks 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
209Seahawks 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
210Seahawks 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
211Seahawks 1H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212Seahawks 1H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
213Seahawks 1H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
214Bears 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
215Bears 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
216Bears 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
217Bears 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
218Bears 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
219Bears 2H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
220Bears 2H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
221Bears 2H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
222Seahawks 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
223Seahawks 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
224Seahawks 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
225Seahawks 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
226Seahawks 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
227Seahawks 2H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
228Seahawks 2H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
229Seahawks 2H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2302H Spread -16.54950.0%$1.4K4950¢-4850¢
231O/U 24.54950.0%$5584950¢-4850¢
232O/U 26.54950.0%$6104950¢-4850¢
233O/U 28.54950.0%$1.7K4950¢-4850¢
234O/U 30.54950.0%$1.3K4950¢-4850¢
235O/U 32.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
236O/U 34.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
237O/U 36.54950.0%$9004950¢-4850¢
238O/U 38.54950.0%$3004950¢-4850¢
239O/U 40.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
240O/U 42.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
241O/U 44.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
242O/U 46.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
243O/U 48.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
244O/U 50.54950.0%$3004950¢-4850¢
245O/U 52.54950.0%$3004950¢-4850¢
246O/U 54.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
247O/U 56.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
248O/U 58.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
249O/U 60.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
250O/U 62.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
251O/U 64.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
252Spread -6.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
253Spread -7.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
254Spread -8.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
255Spread -9.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
256Spread -10.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
257Spread -1.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
258Spread -13.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
259Spread -2.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
260Spread -14.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
261Spread -3.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
262Spread -4.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
263Spread -16.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
264Spread -5.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
265Spread -17.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
266Spread -6.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
267Spread -7.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
268Spread -19.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
269Spread -8.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
270Spread -20.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
271Spread -9.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
272Spread -21.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
273Spread -10.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
274Spread -13.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
275Spread -14.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
276Spread -16.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
277Spread -17.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
278Spread -19.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
279Spread -20.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
280Spread -21.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bears and Seahawks, scheduled for November 2 at 8:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game.

This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 14, 2026

  • 02:03 AM
    JSjsmith-326
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-20.5) at 0.99

  • 02:02 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-21.5) at 0.99

  • 02:02 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-14.5) at 0.99

  • 02:02 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-17.5) at 0.99

  • 02:02 AM
    JSjsmith-326
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-20.5) at 0.99

  • 02:01 AM
    ——
    $103.95

    Bought 105 Bears for 2H Spread: Seahawks (-21.5) at 0.99

  • 02:01 AM
    FIfiguristik
    $4.50

    Sold 450 Over for Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 30.5 at 0.01

  • 02:01 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-21.5) at 0.99

  • 02:01 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-14.5) at 0.99

  • 02:00 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-17.5) at 0.99

  • 02:00 AM
    JSjsmith-326
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Seahawks for 2H Spread: Bears (-20.5) at 0.99

  • 02:00 AM
    ——
    $198.00

    Bought 200 Bears for 2H Spread: Seahawks (-17.5) at 0.99

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

DA1
DannyCipriani
事件盈亏
+$3.50
成交量
$5.00
持仓数
Bears
9E2
0x9e68…f205
事件盈亏
-$1.15
成交量
$5.00
持仓数
Seahawks

常见问题

当前市场对「Bears vs. Seahawks」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 6,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Bears vs. Seahawks(6,150%),以及 Spread -2.5(6,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $250.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始