Bills vs. Texans
$90K Vol
2026年9月13日
Active
概率趋势
Bills 50.5%
Texans 49.5%
核心摘要
根据「Bills vs. Texans」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 26.5 以压倒性的 9,200% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 24.5 以 9,050% 位居第二，O/U 28.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $90K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 26.5 (9,200%)：O/U 26.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,200¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- O/U 24.5 (9,050%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 24.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
- O/U 28.5 (8,900%)：以 8,900% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 28.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 O/U 30.5 (8,750%)、O/U 32.5 (8,350%)，以及 O/U 34.5 (7,900%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 36.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 26.5 | 9200.0% | — | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 2 | O/U 24.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | O/U 28.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 4 | O/U 30.5 | 8750.0% | — | 8750¢ | -8650¢ |
| 5 | O/U 32.5 | 8350.0% | — | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 6 | O/U 34.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 7 | O/U 36.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 8 | 2H O/U 15.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 9 | 2H O/U 18.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 10 | Bills O/U 16.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 11 | Texans O/U 16.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 12 | O/U 38.5 | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 13 | Texans 2H O/U 8.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 14 | Bills 2H O/U 8.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 15 | Texans O/U 19.5 | 6500.0% | — | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 16 | O/U 40.5 | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 17 | Texans 1H O/U 8.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 18 | Bills 1H O/U 8.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 19 | Bills O/U 19.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 20 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 21 | Texans 2H O/U 10.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 22 | Bills 2H O/U 10.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 23 | O/U 41.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 24 | O/U 42.5 | 5800.0% | $5.8K | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 25 | 1Q O/U 1.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 26 | O/U 43.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 27 | Bills O/U 22.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 28 | O/U 44.5 | 5150.0% | $62.4K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 29 | Spread -0.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 30 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 32 | 1H Moneyline | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 33 | Bills vs. Texans | 5050.0% | $17.2K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | 2H Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 35 | 1Q O/U 4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 36 | 1Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 37 | 3Q O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 38 | 3Q O/U 14.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | 4Q O/U 6.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | 4Q O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | 4Q O/U 18.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 3Q O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 4Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Exact Margin: Bills by 25+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Exact Margin: Bills by 19-24 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Exact Margin: Bills by 13-18 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Exact Margin: Bills by 7-12 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Exact Margin: Texans by 7-13 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Exact Margin: Texans by 14-20 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Exact Margin: Texans by 21+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Safety? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Team to Record Longest FG | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Bills vs. Texans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 1H O/U 22.5 | 4950.0% | $7 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 110 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | 3Q O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | 3Q O/U 11.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 113 | 4Q O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 114 | Texans 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 115 | Bills 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 116 | Texans O/U 22.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 118 | Exact Margin: Bills by 1-6 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 119 | Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 120 | Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 121 | Spread -1.5 | 4850.0% | $100 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 122 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 123 | Spread -2.5 | 4700.0% | $1.0K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 124 | Bills 1H O/U 10.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 125 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 4550.0% | $162 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 126 | O/U 45.5 | 4550.0% | $608 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 127 | Spread -1.5 | 4550.0% | $100 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 128 | O/U 46.5 | 4500.0% | $102 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 129 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 130 | Exact Margin: Tie | 4450.0% | $34 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 131 | Texans 1H O/U 10.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 132 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | O/U 47.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 134 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 135 | Texans 1H O/U 12.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 136 | Bills 1H O/U 12.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 137 | Bills O/U 25.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 138 | Texans O/U 25.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 139 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 140 | O/U 48.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 141 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 142 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 143 | Spread -3.5 | 3850.0% | $338 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 144 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 145 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 146 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 147 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 148 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 149 | O/U 50.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 150 | Spread -4.5 | 3300.0% | $1.5K | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 151 | Texans O/U 28.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 152 | Bills O/U 28.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 153 | O/U 52.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 154 | O/U 54.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 155 | O/U 56.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 156 | O/U 58.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 157 | O/U 60.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 158 | O/U 64.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 159 | O/U 62.5 | 900.0% | $300 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET:
If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills".
If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 8, 2026
- 07:29 AMMAmatthematike$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.51
- 06:14 AM0X0xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-1781431873018$500.00
Bought 1000 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 02:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$55.41
Bought 125.93 Under for Bills vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 at 0.44
- 01:57 AMRTRTIII$150.00
Bought 300 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 01:36 AMMOmooseborzoi$118.86
Bought 201.46 Over for Bills vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 at 0.59
Sep 7, 2026
- 10:32 PMDVdv-pm$37.60
Bought 80 Bills for Spread: Bills (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:29 PMVEVeryLucky888$23.00
Bought 46 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 10:25 PM——$2.00
Bought 4 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 10:23 PMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$11.75
Bought 25 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:22 PMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$11.75
Bought 25 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:22 PMDVdv-pm$2,966.84
Bought 5933.67 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 10:22 PMVEVeryLucky888$85.80
Sold 156 Texans for Spread: Bills (-2.5) at 0.55
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
VE1
VeryLucky888事件盈亏
+$83.05
成交量
$10,412.04
持仓数
BillsTexansBills+3
DV2
dv-pm事件盈亏
-$28.46
成交量
$6,013.67
持仓数
TexansBills
MO3
mooseborzoi事件盈亏
-$81.04
成交量
$2,321.19
持仓数
TexansBillsBills+4
AB4
0xaBea…3018事件盈亏
-$24.12
成交量
$2,274.52
持仓数
Texans
635
0x6387…95dc事件盈亏
-$10.78
成交量
$2,156.86
持仓数
Texans
MO6
monkeymashingkeyboard事件盈亏
-$9.53
成交量
$1,905.12
持仓数
Texans
FL7
Flaznorp事件盈亏
+$6.93
成交量
$1,386.36
持仓数
Bills
NI8
nigiri99事件盈亏
-$51.92
成交量
$1,088.00
持仓数
BillsUnderTexans
常见问题
当前市场对「Bills vs. Texans」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 26.5 以 9,200% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 24.5（9,050%），以及 O/U 28.5（8,900%）。该市场总成交量已达 $90K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。