Falcons vs. Packers

$104.4K Vol
2026年9月25日
Active
概率趋势
Packers 72.0%
Falcons 28.0%

核心摘要

根据「Falcons vs. Packers」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 25.5 以压倒性的 9,500% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 27.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,O/U 29.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $104.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 25.5 (9,500%):O/U 25.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 27.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 27.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
  • O/U 29.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 29.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 31.5 (8,450%)、O/U 33.5 (8,050%),以及 O/U 35.5 (7,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 37.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 25.59500.0%9500¢-9400¢
2O/U 27.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3O/U 29.58900.0%8900¢-8800¢
4O/U 31.58450.0%8450¢-8350¢
5O/U 33.58050.0%8050¢-7950¢
6O/U 35.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
7O/U 37.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
8O/U 39.56450.0%6450¢-6350¢
9O/U 41.56050.0%$36050¢-5950¢
10Spread -3.55750.0%$1.6K5750¢-5650¢
11O/U 42.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
12Spread -4.55450.0%$1105450¢-5350¢
13O/U 43.55350.0%$4.9K5350¢-5250¢
142H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Exact Margin: Tie5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Safety?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Team to Record Longest FG5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Falcons vs. Packers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
252Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
264Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
293Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 44.54950.0%$15.2K4950¢-4850¢
33Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
34Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-244850.0%4850¢-4750¢
35Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-184850.0%4850¢-4750¢
36Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-124850.0%4850¢-4750¢
37Exact Margin: Packers by 7-134850.0%4850¢-4750¢
38Exact Margin: Packers by 14-204850.0%4850¢-4750¢
39Exact Margin: Packers by 21+4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
40Spread -6.54750.0%$65.9K4750¢-4650¢
41Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-64750.0%4750¢-4650¢
42Exact Margin: Packers by 1-64750.0%4750¢-4650¢
43O/U 45.54650.0%$8304650¢-4550¢
44O/U 46.54350.0%$74350¢-4250¢
45Spread -7.54150.0%$7.9K4150¢-4050¢
46O/U 47.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
471Q Moneyline3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
48O/U 48.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
49Spread -10.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
501H Moneyline3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
51O/U 49.53350.0%$533350¢-3250¢
52Falcons vs. Packers2800.0%$7.8K2800¢-2700¢
53O/U 51.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
54O/U 53.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
55O/U 55.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢
56O/U 57.51350.0%1350¢-1250¢
57O/U 59.51150.0%1150¢-1050¢
58O/U 61.5900.0%$110900¢-800¢
59O/U 63.5700.0%700¢-600¢
60O/U 65.5650.0%650¢-550¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15PM ET:

If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons".

If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 21, 2026

  • 08:39 PM
    SCscherahmeda
    $5.00

    Bought 8.62069 Falcons for Spread: Packers (-7.5) at 0.58

  • 08:39 PM
    M4m48935
    $4.60

    Bought 7.93 Falcons for Spread: Packers (-7.5) at 0.58

  • 08:38 PM
    MDmde4life1986
    $204.60

    Bought 358.95 Falcons for Spread: Packers (-7.5) at 0.57

  • 08:37 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $25.78

    Bought 59.95 Falcons for Spread: Packers (-4.5) at 0.43

  • 08:36 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $149.93

    Bought 340.76 Over for Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 45.5 at 0.44

  • 08:36 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $19.17

    Bought 39.13 Packers for Spread: Packers (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 08:36 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $310.99

    Bought 758.5 Falcons for Spread: Packers (-3.5) at 0.41

  • 08:36 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $37.50

    Bought 76.530613 Packers for Spread: Packers (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 08:34 PM
    ODOddstorm
    $39.15

    Bought 79.9 Packers for Spread: Packers (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 08:33 PM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $61.74

    Bought 126 Packers for Spread: Packers (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 08:32 PM
    $149.69

    Bought 293.5 Falcons for Spread: Packers (-6.5) at 0.51

  • 08:32 PM
    ROroldy
    $1,599.80

    Bought 3136.86 Over for Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 at 0.51

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MY1
mygdh
事件盈亏
+$79.98
成交量
$15,995.74
持仓数
Falcons
DZ2
dzvbz
事件盈亏
-$70.49
成交量
$14,097.81
持仓数
Packers
QA3
qazd
事件盈亏
-$68.63
成交量
$13,725.00
持仓数
Packers
YW4
ywresh
事件盈亏
+$56.53
成交量
$11,305.67
持仓数
Falcons
WU5
wufnx
事件盈亏
-$51.16
成交量
$10,233.27
持仓数
Packers
AW6
awrue
事件盈亏
-$47.24
成交量
$9,449.42
持仓数
Packers
VN7
vnchdue
事件盈亏
+$47.23
成交量
$9,445.93
持仓数
Falcons
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$154.28
成交量
$8,345.93
持仓数
UnderPackersUnder+5

常见问题

当前市场对「Falcons vs. Packers」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 25.5 以 9,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 27.5(9,050%),以及 O/U 29.5(8,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 $104.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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