NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Receiving TDs Leader

2026年12月7日
Active
概率趋势
Kenny Johnson 50.0%
Chris Barnes 50.0%
Chris Hunter 50.0%
Joseph Williams 50.0%
Malachi Henry 50.0%

核心摘要

根据「NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Receiving TDs Leader」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Kenny Johnson 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Chris Barnes 以 5,000% 位居第二,Louis Brown IV 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Kenny Johnson (5,000%):Kenny Johnson 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Chris Barnes (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Chris Barnes 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Louis Brown IV (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Louis Brown IV 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Chris Hunter (5,000%)、Joseph Williams (5,000%),以及 Malachi Henry (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Amare Thomas 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Kenny Johnson5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Chris Barnes5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Louis Brown IV5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Chris Hunter5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Joseph Williams5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Malachi Henry5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Amare Thomas5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Braden Pegan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cam Pickett5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cody Jackson5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Coy Eakin5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Danny Scudero5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13DeAndre Moore Jr.5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14DJ Epps5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Dylan Wade5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Gavin Freeman5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Jaron Tibbs5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Jeremy Scott5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Jordan Dwyer5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Josh Derry5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Josh Manning5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Justin Bowick5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23JV Gibson5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Kyri Shoels5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Micah Hudson5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Nik McMillan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Omarion Miller5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Reed Harris5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Terrance Carter Jr.5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Trent Walker5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Tre Spivey5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most receiving touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more receiving yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of receiving yards per reception during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Receiving TDs Leader」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Kenny Johnson 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Chris Barnes(5,000%),以及 Louis Brown IV(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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