Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics

$630.4K Vol
2026年9月16日
Active
概率趋势
Toronto Blue Jays 82.0%
Athletics 18.0%

核心摘要

根据「Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics 以压倒性的 8,150% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 以 7,550% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $630.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics (8,150%):Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $206.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (7,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 保持着 7,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,550¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (6,750%):以 6,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 7.5 (5,550%)、Spread -2.5 (5,450%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics8150.0%$206.2K8150¢-8050¢
21st 5 Innings Spread -1.57550.0%$2947550¢-7450¢
3Spread -1.56750.0%$1.4K6750¢-6650¢
4O/U 7.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
5Spread -2.55450.0%$4695450¢-5350¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$675000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.54950.0%$2944950¢-4850¢
13Spread -3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14O/U 8.54650.0%$20.9K4650¢-4550¢
15O/U 9.53450.0%$425.6K3450¢-3350¢
16O/U 10.52700.0%$4.8K2700¢-2600¢
17Spread -1.5850.0%$1.4K850¢-750¢
18Spread -2.5500.0%$469500¢-400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Athletics, scheduled for September 8 at 9:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:05 PM
    GPGptball
    $50.17

    Bought 65.155843 Toronto Blue Jays for Spread: Athletics (-1.5) at 0.77

  • 11:03 PM
    0X0x081BA55eD94aFAF7dc13260616defb5203951c6A-1778202152501
    $720.00

    Bought 935.064934 Toronto Blue Jays for Spread: Athletics (-1.5) at 0.77

  • 10:30 PM
    SDsda213
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Athletics for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) at 0.5

  • 10:25 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.48

    Bought 8 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.56

  • 10:17 PM
    CACaribbeankid
    $18.36

    Bought 36 Toronto Blue Jays for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) at 0.51

  • 10:17 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $415.52

    Bought 848 Athletics for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:16 PM
    MEme02
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 at 0.58

  • 10:03 PM
    KIKisak
    $1.29

    Bought 3 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 at 0.43

  • 10:01 PM
    $3,000.00

    Bought 5172.413792 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 at 0.58

  • 09:47 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.84

    Bought 6.04 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 at 0.47

  • 09:37 PM
    TRTravis311601
    $8.37

    Bought 13.285713 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics at 0.63

  • 09:37 PM
    TRTravis311601
    $7.00

    Bought 12.068966 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 at 0.58

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PL1
pleaseplease123
事件盈亏
-$26,007.57
成交量
$167,817.21
持仓数
Athletics
SK2
SkyonX
事件盈亏
+$11,460.82
成交量
$73,940.32
持仓数
Toronto Blue Jays
323
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
+$2,605.60
成交量
$15,765.12
持仓数
Toronto Blue Jays
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$2,325.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持仓数
Toronto Blue Jays
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$44.67
成交量
$14,894.98
持仓数
Toronto Blue JaysUnder
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$1,487.51
成交量
$14,649.86
持仓数
Toronto Blue JaysUnderOver+2
AN7
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$1,111.17
成交量
$7,733.99
持仓数
Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays
MA8
maxoveral00
事件盈亏
+$1,064.00
成交量
$5,468.00
持仓数
Toronto Blue Jays

常见问题

当前市场对「Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics 以 8,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5(7,550%),以及 Spread -1.5(6,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $630.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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