Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$110.7K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Philadelphia Phillies 52.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 47.5%

核心摘要

根据「Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 8,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 以 7,650% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,700% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $110.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,000%):Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (7,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 保持着 7,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,650¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,700%):以 6,700% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,250%)、Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (6,000%),以及 O/U 6.5 (5,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
2Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.57650.0%$1087650¢-7550¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
4Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
5Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
6O/U 6.55350.0%$8025350¢-5250¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
8Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies4750.0%$102.7K4750¢-4650¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
10Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
11NRFI4450.0%$44450¢-4350¢
12O/U 7.54150.0%$1144150¢-4050¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 4.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
14O/U 8.53400.0%$3.0K3400¢-3300¢
15Spread -1.53350.0%$5763350¢-3250¢
16Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
17Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
18Spread -1.53250.0%$5763250¢-3150¢
19Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
211st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%$52750¢-2650¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%$52650¢-2550¢
23Spread -2.52350.0%$5732350¢-2250¢
24Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
25Spread -2.52250.0%$5732250¢-2150¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51900.0%$301900¢-1800¢
27Extra Innings1200.0%—1200¢-1100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:00 PM
    TETestingthewaters1
    $3.47

    Bought 7.229167 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:59 PM
    THthanos777
    $30.00

    Bought 62.5 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:57 PM
    TRtraderwins180
    $800.00

    Bought 1666.666667 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:56 PM
    CHchristinahudson
    $4.24

    Bought 8.833334 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:53 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $18.09

    Bought 37.6875 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:47 PM
    ——
    $293.88

    Bought 612.25 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:36 PM
    TITimPenis
    $3.05

    Bought 6.354167 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:35 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.61

    Bought 18.13 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

  • 09:33 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.61

    Bought 18.13 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

  • 09:32 PM
    LULululemade
    $25.00

    Bought 52.083334 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:32 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.80

    Bought 9.06 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

  • 09:31 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.80

    Bought 9.06 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

WA1
wapol
事件盈亏
+$13.76
成交量
$3,575.35
持仓数
UnderTampa Bay RaysPhiladelphia Phillies+1
PE2
PETE7
事件盈亏
+$12.02
成交量
$2,402.56
持仓数
Over
DI3
dinimami
事件盈亏
-$28.89
成交量
$2,274.24
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
FI4
filipok2003
事件盈亏
-$35.70
成交量
$937.98
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$8.95
成交量
$747.58
持仓数
Tampa Bay Rays
386
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$4.55
成交量
$507.99
持仓数
Tampa Bay RaysUnder
SE7
selbywest
事件盈亏
+$4.50
成交量
$300.00
持仓数
Tampa Bay Rays
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
事件盈亏
-$1.43
成交量
$285.70
持仓数
Tampa Bay Rays

常见问题

当前市场对「Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 8,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5(7,650%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,700%)。该市场总成交量已达 $110.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始