Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

$257.8K Vol
2026年10月2日
Active
概率趋势
New York Yankees 56.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 43.5%

核心摘要

根据「Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 8,900% 获胜概率主导市场;New York Yankees O/U 1.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 以 7,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $257.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 (8,900%):Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • New York Yankees O/U 1.5 (7,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,New York Yankees O/U 1.5 保持着 7,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,800¢。
  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (7,000%):以 7,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 New York Yankees O/U 2.5 (6,100%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,650%),以及 O/U 5.5 (5,450%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
2New York Yankees O/U 1.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
3Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
4New York Yankees O/U 2.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 2.55650.0%$195650¢-5550¢
6O/U 5.55450.0%$41.7K5450¢-5350¢
7Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
8O/U 6.54450.0%$118.7K4450¢-4350¢
9Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees4350.0%$93.0K4350¢-4250¢
10New York Yankees O/U 3.54350.0%$104350¢-4250¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 3.53950.0%$413950¢-3850¢
12NRFI3850.0%$1.7K3850¢-3750¢
13Spread -1.53650.0%$5583650¢-3550¢
14Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
15New York Yankees O/U 5.53450.0%$1753450¢-3350¢
16O/U 7.53350.0%$2.5K3350¢-3250¢
17New York Yankees O/U 4.53150.0%$2113150¢-3050¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
19Spread -1.52850.0%$5582850¢-2750¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 4.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
21Spread -2.52550.0%$92550¢-2450¢
22Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
23Spread -2.51850.0%$91850¢-1750¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 5.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51300.0%$561300¢-1200¢
27Extra Innings1000.0%$1401000¢-900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 24 at 7:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 24, 2026

  • 09:55 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.54

    Bought 41.3 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.57

  • 09:54 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.54

    Bought 41.3 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.57

  • 09:54 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:53 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:52 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:51 PM
    MYMysaenn
    $3.52

    Bought 8 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:51 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:49 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:48 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:47 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:46 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $10.00

    Bought 22.72 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.44

  • 09:45 PM
    BAbajashimalaja
    $4.56

    Bought 8 New York Yankees for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees at 0.57

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HM1
HMLSF
事件盈亏
-$129.47
成交量
$25,894.00
持仓数
Tampa Bay Rays
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$80.19
成交量
$16,030.74
持仓数
New York YankeesTampa Bay RaysYes
TA3
Talvez10
事件盈亏
+$43.45
成交量
$9,853.18
持仓数
Under
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$178.36
成交量
$9,287.32
持仓数
OverOverUnder
325
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
+$40.00
成交量
$8,000.00
持仓数
New York Yankees
WA6
wapol
事件盈亏
-$174.82
成交量
$6,193.28
持仓数
OverOverOver
IM7
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
-$66.89
成交量
$4,561.05
持仓数
Tampa Bay RaysOver
MA8
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
+$180.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 以 8,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 New York Yankees O/U 1.5(7,800%),以及 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5(7,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $257.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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