Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
核心摘要
根据「Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies 以压倒性的 6,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Seattle Mariners O/U 7.5 以 5,600% 位居第二,Seattle Mariners O/U 4.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $543.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies (6,550%):Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $209.1K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Seattle Mariners O/U 7.5 (5,600%):作为最可行的替代选项,Seattle Mariners O/U 7.5 保持着 5,600% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,600¢。
- Seattle Mariners O/U 4.5 (5,050%):以 5,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Seattle Mariners O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Extra Innings (5,000%)、Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5 (5,000%),以及 Seattle Mariners O/U 5.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Seattle Mariners O/U 6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | 6550.0% | $209.1K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 2 | Seattle Mariners O/U 7.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 3 | Seattle Mariners O/U 4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Extra Innings | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Seattle Mariners O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Seattle Mariners O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | $9 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Seattle Mariners O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Colorado Rockies O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Colorado Rockies O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Colorado Rockies O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Colorado Rockies O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Colorado Rockies O/U 6.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 | 4350.0% | $6.3K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 15 | O/U 9.5 | 3750.0% | $3.9K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 16 | Spread -3.5 | 3650.0% | $469 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 17 | Spread -2.5 | 3500.0% | $22.1K | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 18 | O/U 10.5 | 3000.0% | $205.7K | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 19 | O/U 11.5 | 1900.0% | $16.9K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 20 | O/U 12.5 | 1650.0% | $470 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 21 | Spread -1.5 | 1450.0% | $6.3K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 22 | O/U 13.5 | 1050.0% | $209 | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 23 | Spread -4.5 | 800.0% | $160 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 24 | Spread -2.5 | 700.0% | $22.1K | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 25 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 26 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 27 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 5.0% | $1.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 28 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 5.0% | $198 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 18 at 8:10PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.
This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 19, 2026
- 12:13 AMJUjustaluckydude$31.36
Bought 49 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 at 0.64
- 12:13 AMFAFaustMao$18.45
Bought 36.176471 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.51
- 12:13 AMLOlocalmo$3.90
Bought 7.647059 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.51
- 12:13 AMPAPapanya$2.55
Bought 5 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.51
- 12:13 AMBRBrotherObama$7,000.48
Bought 13462.462116 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.52
- 12:13 AM——$7.69
Bought 15.078432 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.51
- 12:13 AMKAKazacugambler39$8.00
Bought 13.559321 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 at 0.59
- 12:13 AMBBbboy0008$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.51
- 12:13 AMFAFaustMao$12.63
Bought 24.288462 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.52
- 12:12 AMFLFlaznorp$133.33
Bought 333.325 Under for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 at 0.4
- 12:12 AMPAPapanya$2.55
Bought 5 Over for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.51
- 12:12 AMKIKisak$0.94
Sold 2.13 Under for Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 at 0.44
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies 以 6,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Seattle Mariners O/U 7.5(5,600%),以及 Seattle Mariners O/U 4.5(5,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $543.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
