Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

$65K Vol
2026年9月9日
Active
概率趋势
Boston Red Sox 54.5%
Seattle Mariners 45.5%

核心摘要

根据「Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox 以压倒性的 4,650% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 7.5 以 4,600% 位居第二,NRFI 以 4,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $65K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox (4,650%):Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 7.5 (4,600%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 7.5 保持着 4,600% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,600¢。
  • NRFI (4,300%):以 4,300% 的概率位列第三,市场对 NRFI 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 8.5 (3,500%)、Spread -1.5 (3,400%),以及 Spread -1.5 (3,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox4650.0%$1.4K4650¢-4550¢
2O/U 7.54600.0%$31.0K4600¢-4500¢
3NRFI4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
4O/U 8.53500.0%$32.7K3500¢-3400¢
5Spread -1.53400.0%$423400¢-3300¢
6Spread -1.53350.0%$423350¢-3250¢
7O/U 9.52750.0%$2762750¢-2650¢
8Spread -2.52550.0%$262550¢-2450¢
9Spread -2.52500.0%$262500¢-2400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 1 at 6:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 31, 2026

  • 08:23 PM
    0X0xc45f8eBb164B29759c29e42a4Eb3e214c6D6e19F-1769872422738
    $1.94

    Bought 4.21739 Seattle Mariners for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.46

  • 08:22 PM
    BAbarbar733
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347825 Seattle Mariners for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.46

  • 06:59 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $20.90

    Bought 47.49 Seattle Mariners for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 06:53 PM
    DIDiForss
    $8.55

    Bought 15 Boston Red Sox for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.57

  • 06:40 PM
    ARarcher111
    $0.98

    Bought 2.22 Seattle Mariners for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 06:40 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272726 Seattle Mariners for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 06:40 PM
    SUSum-1763055276585
    $1.32

    Bought 3 Seattle Mariners for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 05:06 AM
    FIfishbaba
    $30.95

    Bought 55.26 Boston Red Sox for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.56

Aug 30, 2026

  • 11:37 PM
    EXexpene
    $4.05

    Bought 7.23214 Boston Red Sox for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.56

  • 08:54 PM
    SPSpongebobb
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785713 Boston Red Sox for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.56

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

WA1
wapol
事件盈亏
-$626.81
成交量
$31,627.78
持仓数
OverOver
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$662.67
成交量
$26,978.00
持仓数
UnderUnder
GA3
garabanga
事件盈亏
-$584.54
成交量
$10,825.57
持仓数
OverOver
A04
0xa0f2…1848
事件盈亏
+$427.37
成交量
$9,834.96
持仓数
UnderUnder
NO5
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
+$261.42
成交量
$8,159.07
持仓数
UnderUnder
ST6
stcharlos2
事件盈亏
-$165.48
成交量
$3,343.06
持仓数
OverOver
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$87.40
成交量
$2,551.50
持仓数
UnderUnder
858
0x85c3…700c
事件盈亏
-$221.27
成交量
$2,476.63
持仓数
OverOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox 以 4,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 7.5(4,600%),以及 NRFI(4,300%)。该市场总成交量已达 $65K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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