San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Player Props
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2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Under 51.5%
Over 48.5%
核心摘要
根据「San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 15.5 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场；Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 16.5 以 5,050% 位居第二，Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 17.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 15.5 (5,050%)：Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 15.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 16.5 (5,050%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 16.5 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
- Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 17.5 (5,050%)：以 5,050% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 17.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Jacob Misiorowski: Hits Allowed O/U 1.5 (5,050%)、Jacob Misiorowski: Hits Allowed O/U 2.5 (5,050%)，以及 Jacob Misiorowski: Hits Allowed O/U 3.5 (5,050%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 16.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 17.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Jacob Misiorowski: Hits Allowed O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Jacob Misiorowski: Hits Allowed O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Jacob Misiorowski: Hits Allowed O/U 3.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Dustin Harris: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Dustin Harris: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Dustin Harris: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Dustin Harris: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Dustin Harris: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Jackson Merrill: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Jackson Merrill: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Jackson Merrill: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Jackson Merrill: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Jackson Merrill: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Jackson Merrill: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Manny Machado: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Manny Machado: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Manny Machado: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Manny Machado: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Manny Machado: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Manny Machado: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Ty France: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Ty France: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Ty France: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Ty France: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Ty France: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Ty France: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Dustin Harris: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Dustin Harris: Total Bases O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Dustin Harris: Total Bases O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Dustin Harris: Total Bases O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Total Bases O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Total Bases O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Total Bases O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Jackson Merrill: Total Bases O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Jackson Merrill: Total Bases O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Jackson Merrill: Total Bases O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Manny Machado: Total Bases O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Manny Machado: Total Bases O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Manny Machado: Total Bases O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Ty France: Total Bases O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Ty France: Total Bases O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Ty France: Total Bases O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Xander Bogaerts: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Xander Bogaerts: Total Bases O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Xander Bogaerts: Total Bases O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Xander Bogaerts: Total Bases O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Dustin Harris: Hits O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Dustin Harris: Hits O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Dustin Harris: Hits O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Hits O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Jackson Merrill: Hits O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Jackson Merrill: Hits O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Jackson Merrill: Hits O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Manny Machado: Hits O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Manny Machado: Hits O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Manny Machado: Hits O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Ty France: Hits O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Ty France: Hits O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Ty France: Hits O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Xander Bogaerts: Hits O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Dustin Harris: RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Dustin Harris: RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Dustin Harris: RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Jackson Merrill: RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Jackson Merrill: RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Jackson Merrill: RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Manny Machado: RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Manny Machado: RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Manny Machado: RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Ty France: RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Ty France: RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Ty France: RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Xander Bogaerts: RBIs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Xander Bogaerts: RBIs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Xander Bogaerts: RBIs O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Dustin Harris: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Jake Cronenworth: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Xander Bogaerts: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Jacob Misiorowski: Earned Runs Allowed O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Jacob Misiorowski: Earned Runs Allowed O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Jackson Merrill: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Dustin Harris: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 110 | Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 113 | Ty France: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 114 | Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 115 | Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 116 | Dustin Harris: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | Dustin Harris: Total Bases O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 118 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 119 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Total Bases O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | Jackson Merrill: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | Jackson Merrill: Total Bases O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 122 | Manny Machado: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 123 | Manny Machado: Total Bases O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 124 | Ty France: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 125 | Ty France: Total Bases O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 126 | Xander Bogaerts: Total Bases O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 127 | Dustin Harris: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 128 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 129 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 130 | Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 131 | Ty France: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 132 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 134 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 8.5 | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 135 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 9.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 136 | Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 11.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 3 at 8:30 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Player Props」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 15.5 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 16.5（5,050%），以及 Jacob Misiorowski: Outs Recorded O/U 17.5（5,050%）。该市场总成交量已达 —，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。