Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

$125.9K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
概率趋势
New York Mets 53.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,New York Mets O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 8,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 8,750% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $125.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • New York Mets O/U 1.5 (8,950%):New York Mets O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,750%):作为最可行的替代选项,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 保持着 8,750% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,750¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,650%):以 7,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 New York Mets O/U 2.5 (7,400%)、Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (7,050%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 New York Mets O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1New York Mets O/U 1.58950.0%8950¢-8850¢
2Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.58750.0%8750¢-8650¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.57650.0%$47650¢-7550¢
4New York Mets O/U 2.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
5Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
7New York Mets O/U 3.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
8O/U 7.55850.0%$2585850¢-5750¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55650.0%$915650¢-5550¢
10O/U 8.55050.0%$2.9K5050¢-4950¢
11NRFI4950.0%$2894950¢-4850¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets4650.0%$121.4K4650¢-4550¢
14New York Mets O/U 4.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
15Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
16O/U 9.54050.0%$2044050¢-3950¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 5.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
18Spread -1.53550.0%$1223550¢-3450¢
19Spread -1.53550.0%$1223550¢-3450¢
20New York Mets O/U 5.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
21Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
25Spread -2.52650.0%$1942650¢-2550¢
26Spread -2.52550.0%$1942550¢-2450¢
27Extra Innings900.0%900¢-800¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 18 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 18, 2026

  • 10:13 PM
    ALAltcom
    $2.92

    Bought 5.41 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 10:11 PM
    M1M123888
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 10:11 PM
    CEceteris-paribus
    $3.00

    Bought 6.382979 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:50 PM
    MAMathOnly3c
    $2,413.97

    Bought 5136.1 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:47 PM
    GAgabron13
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:46 PM
    ALAltcom
    $19.48

    Bought 36.07 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 09:46 PM
    YOYortcas
    $4.00

    Bought 8.510639 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:44 PM
    M1M123888
    $25.00

    Bought 46.296297 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 09:41 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.47

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xe315130229DcF148e87555a6722BAF8770Dd3911-1769357511469
    $6.57

    Bought 12.166667 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0xSeijuro
    $25.00

    Bought 50 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.5

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0xSeijuro
    $40.00

    Bought 74.074075 New York Mets for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets at 0.54

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$0.07
成交量
$2,052.00
持仓数
OverOverPhiladelphia Phillies
BR2
brendoncarson
事件盈亏
-$18.75
成交量
$1,250.00
持仓数
Under
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$15.63
成交量
$651.87
持仓数
UnderPhiladelphia Phillies
384
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$2.46
成交量
$191.99
持仓数
NoUnder
LI5
liuzhixiong
事件盈亏
-$2.36
成交量
$119.00
持仓数
Yes
5C6
0x5c54…f1d2
事件盈亏
-$1.44
成交量
$96.15
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
9C7
0x9c35…31c4
事件盈亏
+$1.44
成交量
$96.15
持仓数
New York Mets
PA8
Pan9X
事件盈亏
+$0.33
成交量
$65.47
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies

常见问题

当前市场对「Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,New York Mets O/U 1.5 以 8,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5(8,750%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(7,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $125.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始