Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

$444.2K Vol
2026年9月25日
Active
概率趋势
Philadelphia Phillies 75.5%
New York Mets 26.0%

核心摘要

根据「Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 以 8,950% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 7,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $444.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (9,950%):Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $537 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (8,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 保持着 8,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,950¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (7,350%):以 7,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 3.5 (7,000%)、Extra Innings (5,100%),以及 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.59950.0%$5379950¢-9850¢
2Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets8950.0%$356.6K8950¢-8850¢
3Spread -1.57350.0%$9.4K7350¢-7250¢
4O/U 3.57000.0%$417000¢-6900¢
5Extra Innings5100.0%$6025100¢-5000¢
6Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55000.0%$605000¢-4900¢
8Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9New York Mets O/U 2.55000.0%$1815000¢-4900¢
10New York Mets O/U 3.55000.0%$735000¢-4900¢
11New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
12New York Mets O/U 6.55000.0%$4135000¢-4900¢
13O/U 6.55000.0%$6395000¢-4900¢
14O/U 5.53650.0%$2483650¢-3550¢
15Spread -2.53450.0%$2.1K3450¢-3350¢
16O/U 4.53250.0%$3843250¢-3150¢
17Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
18New York Mets O/U 5.5650.0%$3650¢-550¢
19O/U 7.5600.0%$4.8K600¢-500¢
20O/U 8.5450.0%$54.5K450¢-350¢
21Spread -1.5400.0%$9.4K400¢-300¢
22O/U 9.5350.0%$1.1K350¢-250¢
23Spread -2.5295.0%$2.1K295¢-195¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 17 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 17, 2026

  • 11:33 PM
    0X0xe7Fe243CeDf4C0Ae5A8d208C8508103c581e261E-1770540281244
    $4.15

    Bought 5.92857 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 11:32 PM
    $63.84

    Bought 199.5 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 11:32 PM
    $63.84

    Bought 199.5 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 11:32 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265823 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) at 0.79

  • 11:31 PM
    3838791873984189
    $3.75

    Sold 5 New York Mets for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) at 0.75

  • 11:31 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $1,710.72

    Bought 2592 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 11:30 PM
    M7M7TRFv
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Over for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 at 0.45

  • 11:29 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.030302 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 11:29 PM
    JUJustluck9
    $477.02

    Bought 1403.01 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 11:27 PM
    SWSwiss-c
    $5.00

    Bought 13.16 Over for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 at 0.38

  • 11:27 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.79

    Bought 9.973685 Over for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 at 0.38

  • 11:27 PM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.018519 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

2A1
0x2a07…7354
事件盈亏
+$177.48
成交量
$35,488.94
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$7.68
成交量
$15,000.00
持仓数
New York Mets
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$73.71
成交量
$12,656.46
持仓数
New York MetsNew York MetsUnder+2
324
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
-$40.00
成交量
$7,999.97
持仓数
New York Mets
SA5
Salad1
事件盈亏
+$30.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
SD6
SDTrading
事件盈亏
+$57.83
成交量
$3,855.27
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
NI7
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$12.27
成交量
$3,819.00
持仓数
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia PhilliesOver
A68
0xa697…6031
事件盈亏
-$2.52
成交量
$2,064.65
持仓数
New York MetsUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets(8,950%),以及 Spread -1.5(7,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $444.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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