Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

$91.1K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
概率趋势
Atlanta Braves 50.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 7,350% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,150% 位居第二,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 以 6,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $91.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 (7,350%):Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持着 7,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,150¢。
  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,650%):以 6,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (6,400%)、O/U 6.5 (6,050%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Atlanta Braves O/U 1.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
3Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
4Atlanta Braves O/U 2.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
5O/U 6.56050.0%$4136050¢-5950¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
7Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
8Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
9Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves4950.0%$140.0K4950¢-4850¢
10O/U 7.54850.0%$1.1K4850¢-4750¢
11Atlanta Braves O/U 3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
12NRFI4750.0%$204750¢-4650¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 4.54500.0%$1724500¢-4400¢
14O/U 8.54050.0%$1644050¢-3950¢
15Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
16Spread -1.53750.0%$5813750¢-3650¢
17Philadelphia Phillies O/U 6.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
18Atlanta Braves O/U 4.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
191st 5 Innings Spread -1.53300.0%$153300¢-3200¢
20Atlanta Braves O/U 5.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
211st 5 Innings O/U 5.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
22Spread -1.53150.0%$5813150¢-3050¢
23Spread -2.52650.0%$2382650¢-2550¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.52400.0%$152400¢-2300¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 6.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
26Spread -2.52100.0%$2382100¢-2000¢
27Extra Innings1200.0%—1200¢-1100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for October 1 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 1, 2026

  • 11:25 AM
    COCoocooCal
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960785 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 11:17 AM
    DFdfv245gbh
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 11:17 AM
    HGhgfghh514
    $10.20

    Bought 20 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 11:05 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $50.00

    Bought 98.039216 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 10:04 AM
    NInimblebush786
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 10:03 AM
    0X0x2c1
    $2.42

    Bought 4.84 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 09:56 AM
    NGNgB-J
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 09:34 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $190.47

    Bought 373.470589 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 09:23 AM
    WSwsjhqayh
    $5.10

    Bought 10 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 09:23 AM
    WSwsesha34h
    $12.50

    Bought 25 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.5

  • 09:23 AM
    AQAQT4QAWTGR
    $7.14

    Bought 14 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

  • 09:23 AM
    RDrdtjhaesje
    $15.30

    Bought 30 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.51

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

2C1
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$371.63
成交量
$73,916.52
持仓数
Atlanta Braves
2A2
0x2a07…7354
事件盈亏
-$264.27
成交量
$52,864.17
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
NI3
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$80.42
成交量
$16,083.00
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
WA4
wapol
事件盈亏
-$10.24
成交量
$2,048.00
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
755
0x755a…82c4
事件盈亏
-$9.80
成交量
$1,960.78
持仓数
Atlanta Braves
NE6
neutralwave23
事件盈亏
-$24.51
成交量
$1,624.94
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
JU7
Jumperhq
事件盈亏
+$0.08
成交量
$1,616.00
持仓数
Philadelphia PhilliesOver
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$7.50
成交量
$1,499.98
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies

常见问题

当前市场对「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 以 7,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(7,150%),以及 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5(6,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $91.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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