Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

$290.9K Vol
2026年10月7日
Active
概率趋势
Philadelphia Phillies 50.5%
Atlanta Braves 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 6,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 以 6,850% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $290.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (6,950%):Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 保持着 6,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,850¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,650%):以 6,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Atlanta Braves O/U 1.5 (6,550%)、Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (5,950%),以及 O/U 6.5 (5,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
2Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
4Atlanta Braves O/U 1.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
5Atlanta Braves O/U 2.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
6O/U 6.55850.0%$2855850¢-5750¢
7Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves5050.0%$290.5K5050¢-4950¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Atlanta Braves O/U 4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Atlanta Braves O/U 3.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
12NRFI4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
13O/U 7.54550.0%$1.6K4550¢-4450¢
14Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
15O/U 8.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
16Spread -1.53750.0%$2.9K3750¢-3650¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 4.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.53250.0%$423250¢-3150¢
19Spread -1.53050.0%$2.9K3050¢-2950¢
20Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
21Atlanta Braves O/U 5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 5.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
23Spread -2.52650.0%$1652650¢-2550¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.52450.0%$422450¢-2350¢
25Spread -2.51950.0%$1651950¢-1850¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
27Extra Innings1100.0%—1100¢-1000¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 30 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 29, 2026

  • 11:55 PM
    ACacw9111
    $4.77

    Bought 9 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    ——
    $9.88

    Bought 18.64151 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    SAsappireflames000
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    SAsappireflames000
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    GAgarylovestrading
    $5.58

    Bought 10.528302 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.53

  • 11:55 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $186.16

    Bought 358 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:52 PM
    ACacw9111
    $9.54

    Bought 18.346154 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:52 PM
    ——
    $14.56

    Bought 28 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    GAgarylovestrading
    $30.00

    Bought 57.692308 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    MTMTiCrew
    $14.72

    Bought 28.3 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $5,146.04

    Bought 9896.23 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    ASasd1234567
    $50.00

    Bought 102.040817 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SD1
SDTrading
事件盈亏
+$51.28
成交量
$10,254.23
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
NO2
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
-$41.75
成交量
$8,349.00
持仓数
Atlanta Braves
383
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$4.99
成交量
$574.60
持仓数
Atlanta Braves
VR4
vrvrvrvr
事件盈亏
+$2.17
成交量
$433.24
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
A65
0xa697…6031
事件盈亏
-$2.13
成交量
$426.03
持仓数
Atlanta Braves
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$1.71
成交量
$342.40
持仓数
Philadelphia Phillies
MO7
moneyline7
事件盈亏
-$0.60
成交量
$313.53
持仓数
Atlanta Braves
588
0x5811…6071
事件盈亏
-$1.31
成交量
$262.20
持仓数
Atlanta Braves

常见问题

当前市场对「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 6,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5(6,850%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $290.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始