Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians

$137.1K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
概率趋势
Cleveland Guardians 67.5%
Athletics 32.5%

核心摘要

根据「Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 7,950% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,700% 位居第二,Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 以 6,600% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $137.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 (7,950%):Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持着 7,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,700¢。
  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 (6,600%):以 6,600% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,550%)、Athletics O/U 2.5 (6,000%),以及 Athletics O/U 1.5 (5,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.57950.0%7950¢-7850¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57700.0%7700¢-7600¢
3Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
5Athletics O/U 2.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
6Athletics O/U 1.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
7O/U 7.55750.0%$2565750¢-5650¢
8Athletics O/U 5.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
9Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.55400.0%$105400¢-5300¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 4.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
11NRFI4950.0%$1704950¢-4850¢
12Spread -1.54950.0%$1454950¢-4850¢
13O/U 8.54950.0%$13.2K4950¢-4850¢
14Athletics O/U 3.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
15Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 5.54050.0%$74050¢-3950¢
18O/U 9.53850.0%$3493850¢-3750¢
19Spread -2.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
20Athletics O/U 4.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
21Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians3250.0%$106.0K3250¢-3150¢
22Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 6.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
24Spread -1.52350.0%$1452350¢-2250¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
26Spread -2.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
27Extra Innings950.0%950¢-850¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 18 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 18, 2026

  • 11:58 AM
    BRbrendoncarson
    $100.42

    Bought 200.83 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 11:08 AM
    POPoetry
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Over for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 10:37 AM
    $50.00

    Bought 84.745763 Over for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 10:03 AM
    LAlarame
    $5.04

    Bought 14 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

  • 08:54 AM
    $11.00

    Bought 22 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:50 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 3.076922 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.65

  • 08:15 AM
    ANAntonyHokins
    $4.17

    Bought 7.06 Under for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.59

  • 07:23 AM
    R5r544freeff
    $8.28

    Bought 23 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

  • 07:22 AM
    4R4rdredew
    $14.95

    Bought 23 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.65

  • 07:18 AM
    585826frff
    $10.08

    Bought 28 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

  • 07:18 AM
    SDsdfer4de
    $18.19

    Bought 27.99 Cleveland Guardians for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.65

  • 07:04 AM
    RErefgtrfsdd
    $8.28

    Bought 23 Athletics for Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.36

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

VE1
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$976.85
成交量
$39,082.43
持仓数
AthleticsUnder
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$856.59
成交量
$34,262.11
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
IC3
ic4cream
事件盈亏
+$448.12
成交量
$17,924.00
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
CO4
CoffeeDespiser
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持仓数
Athletics
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$253.39
成交量
$10,135.17
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$3.12
成交量
$5,355.49
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
587
0x5811…6071
事件盈亏
-$77.99
成交量
$5,070.00
持仓数
Athletics
A68
0xa697…6031
事件盈亏
-$0.98
成交量
$3,485.04
持仓数
AthleticsAthletics

常见问题

当前市场对「Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 以 7,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(7,700%),以及 Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5(6,600%)。该市场总成交量已达 $137.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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