New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$563K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
概率趋势
Tampa Bay Rays 76.5%
New York Yankees 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 5,700% 获胜概率主导市场;New York Yankees O/U 1.5 以 5,350% 位居第二,Extra Innings 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $563K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (5,700%):Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • New York Yankees O/U 1.5 (5,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,New York Yankees O/U 1.5 保持着 5,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,350¢。
  • Extra Innings (5,250%):以 5,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Extra Innings 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (5,250%)、New York Yankees O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 New York Yankees O/U 3.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 New York Yankees O/U 4.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.55700.0%$1.4K5700¢-5600¢
2New York Yankees O/U 1.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
3Extra Innings5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
4Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
5New York Yankees O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6New York Yankees O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7New York Yankees O/U 4.55000.0%$445000¢-4900¢
8New York Yankees O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12O/U 1.53300.0%$113300¢-3200¢
13O/U 2.52650.0%$162650¢-2550¢
14New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays1250.0%$488.7K1250¢-1150¢
15O/U 3.51200.0%$41200¢-1100¢
16Spread -1.51050.0%$4.5K1050¢-950¢
17Spread -1.5750.0%$4.5K750¢-650¢
18O/U 4.5750.0%$2.2K750¢-650¢
19Spread -2.5450.0%$379450¢-350¢
20O/U 5.5450.0%$7.8K450¢-350¢
21Spread -2.5350.0%$379350¢-250¢
22O/U 6.5200.0%$19.5K200¢-100¢
23O/U 7.5200.0%$11.7K200¢-100¢
24O/U 8.5150.0%$3.9K150¢-50¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 3 at 6:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 12:36 AM
    GEgeonlee117
    $10.11

    Sold 10.87 Under for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 at 0.93

  • 12:34 AM
    SNsn-ow
    $1.00

    Bought 1.063816 Under for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 at 0.94

  • 12:34 AM
    656512395314597884
    $1.15

    Bought 1.38 New York Yankees for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.83

  • 12:33 AM
    0X0x8E3ac779917fDD48E71e5447903eeD86ff29dcA4-1782110234625
    $1.00

    Bought 9.09 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.11

  • 12:33 AM
    NEneymar1
    $112.80

    Bought 1128 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.1

  • 12:33 AM
    CUcurie
    $1,221.08

    Bought 1372 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.89

  • 12:33 AM
    DEdemocracy
    $3.00

    Bought 3.614458 New York Yankees for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.83

  • 12:32 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.60

    Bought 5 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 12:32 AM
    SASaaim
    $16.69

    Sold 20.61 Tampa Bay Rays for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.81

  • 12:32 AM
    0X0x6daae04265d65cb2aae7fe6db4210568de7d954a-1783406213213
    $38.09

    Bought 46.451216 Tampa Bay Rays for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.82

  • 12:32 AM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $4.08

    Bought 81.632654 Over for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.05

  • 12:31 AM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $2.00

    Bought 28.571429 Over for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.07

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$50.43
成交量
$5,848.45
持仓数
UnderUnder
BR2
breezybets
事件盈亏
+$22.50
成交量
$4,499.99
持仓数
Over
SD3
SDTrading
事件盈亏
+$16.40
成交量
$3,279.51
持仓数
Tampa Bay Rays
6C4
0x6c46…ce2b
事件盈亏
-$15.32
成交量
$3,065.32
持仓数
Over
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$36.40
成交量
$2,427.08
持仓数
Under
WA6
wapol
事件盈亏
+$30.72
成交量
$2,048.00
持仓数
Over
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$10.26
成交量
$1,816.00
持仓数
New York YankeesUnderNew York Yankees+3
AN8
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$7.58
成交量
$1,515.60
持仓数
UnderNo

常见问题

当前市场对「New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 以 5,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 New York Yankees O/U 1.5(5,350%),以及 Extra Innings(5,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $563K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始