New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

$469.3K Vol
2026年10月1日
Active
概率趋势
New York Mets 54.5%
Texas Rangers 45.5%

核心摘要

根据「New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 5.5 以压倒性的 7,250% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 6.5 以 5,850% 位居第二,New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers 以 5,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $469.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 5.5 (7,250%):O/U 5.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $14.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 6.5 (5,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 6.5 保持着 5,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,850¢。
  • New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers (5,450%):以 5,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Extra Innings (5,000%)、New York Mets O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 New York Mets O/U 3.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 New York Mets O/U 4.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 5.57250.0%$14.7K7250¢-7150¢
2O/U 6.55850.0%$28.5K5850¢-5750¢
3New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers5450.0%$350.8K5450¢-5350¢
4Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5New York Mets O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6New York Mets O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8New York Mets O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Texas Rangers O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Texas Rangers O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Texas Rangers O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Texas Rangers O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 7.54200.0%$19.2K4200¢-4100¢
14Spread -1.53450.0%$4.9K3450¢-3350¢
15O/U 8.53050.0%$7.7K3050¢-2950¢
16Spread -2.52050.0%$25.6K2050¢-1950¢
17Spread -1.51450.0%$4.9K1450¢-1350¢
18Spread -2.5805.0%$25.6K805¢-705¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 23 at 8:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 24, 2026

  • 12:03 AM
    FNfnaot
    $4.00

    Bought 5.7971 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 12:00 AM
    FIfishjoy
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.69

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $62.68

    Bought 92.18 New York Mets for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:58 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $170.10

    Bought 315 Under for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.54

  • 11:56 PM
    GAgabmlergao
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185186 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 11:56 PM
    MSmsfc2
    $5.98

    Bought 18.121213 Texas Rangers for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 11:55 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $222.56

    Bought 473.53 Under for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.47

  • 11:54 PM
    ARArthurKim
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Texas Rangers for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 11:47 PM
    FEfelixroj
    $3.36

    Bought 6.222223 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 11:28 PM
    SUsuperlxj
    $4.18

    Bought 11 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.38

  • 11:28 PM
    CHchrollo3323
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873016 Texas Rangers for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 11:20 PM
    TUTureckiBe
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Over for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$42.46
成交量
$8,491.40
持仓数
Texas RangersOver
BI2
binkybarnes55
事件盈亏
-$15.08
成交量
$4,983.58
持仓数
New York Mets
KR3
Krown
事件盈亏
-$12.08
成交量
$2,415.64
持仓数
Texas Rangers
WA4
wapol
事件盈亏
+$9.52
成交量
$1,920.85
持仓数
New York MetsNew York Mets
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$22.81
成交量
$1,689.59
持仓数
Texas RangersOverUnder
HE6
Herdonia
事件盈亏
+$0.72
成交量
$1,193.01
持仓数
New York Mets
747
0x74Bd…1393
事件盈亏
-$25.00
成交量
$999.99
持仓数
Texas Rangers
PA8
pan332
事件盈亏
+$5.20
成交量
$990.64
持仓数
New York Mets

常见问题

当前市场对「New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 5.5 以 7,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 6.5(5,850%),以及 New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers(5,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $469.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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