Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

$102.4K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
Milwaukee Brewers 50.5%
Baltimore Orioles 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 7,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 以 6,750% 位居第二,Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 以 6,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $102.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,000%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 (6,750%):作为最可行的替代选项,Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 保持着 6,750% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,750¢。
  • Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 (6,650%):以 6,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,600%)、Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5 (5,400%),以及 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
2Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
3Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.55600.0%$5955600¢-5500¢
5Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
6Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles5050.0%$69.5K5050¢-4950¢
7O/U 7.55050.0%$5.9K5050¢-4950¢
8Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10NRFI4750.0%$1.6K4750¢-4650¢
11O/U 8.54250.0%$6.8K4250¢-4150¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.54250.0%$4244250¢-4150¢
13Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
14Spread -1.53750.0%$3.5K3750¢-3650¢
15Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
16O/U 9.53300.0%$2.5K3300¢-3200¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 5.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
18Spread -1.53150.0%$3.5K3150¢-3050¢
19Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
21Spread -2.52850.0%$1022850¢-2750¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 6.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
24Spread -2.52150.0%$1022150¢-2050¢
25Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.52150.0%2150¢-2050¢
26Baltimore Orioles O/U 5.51750.0%1750¢-1650¢
27Extra Innings1000.0%1000¢-900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 19 at 4:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:23 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.04

    Bought 45.33 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 12:07 PM
    LILightSword707
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833334 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 12:07 PM
    BUbunefrancis
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 11:37 AM
    SYsymphony
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 11:26 AM
    NInigiri99
    $9.68

    Bought 22 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 11:16 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $99.55

    Bought 153.154327 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 at 0.65

  • 11:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.54

    Bought 16.12 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 11:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.14

    Bought 4.03 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 10:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $46.20

    Bought 110 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 10:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.76

    Bought 4 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 10:33 AM
    SCscherahmeda
    $5.00

    Bought 15.625 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) at 0.32

  • 10:24 AM
    JIjinjianceng
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) at 0.32

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SD1
SDTrading
事件盈亏
+$1,374.59
成交量
$39,272.93
持仓数
Baltimore Orioles
322
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
-$560.00
成交量
$16,000.00
持仓数
Milwaukee Brewers
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$88.89
成交量
$9,829.13
持仓数
UnderUnderMilwaukee Brewers+1
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$22.59
成交量
$9,760.00
持仓数
Baltimore OriolesMilwaukee BrewersNo+2
WA5
wapol
事件盈亏
-$171.39
成交量
$9,528.19
持仓数
Milwaukee BrewersOverOver+1
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$42.49
成交量
$9,112.97
持仓数
Baltimore OriolesBaltimore OriolesOver
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$178.58
成交量
$7,178.15
持仓数
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee BrewersUnder
AN8
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
-$112.88
成交量
$6,171.96
持仓数
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee BrewersYes

常见问题

当前市场对「Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5(6,750%),以及 Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5(6,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $102.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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