Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

$218.6K Vol
2026年9月23日
Active
概率趋势
Los Angeles Dodgers 78.5%
Cincinnati Reds 21.5%

核心摘要

根据「Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds 以 9,150% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 7,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $218.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (9,995%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds (9,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (7,950%):以 7,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (7,300%)、O/U 7.5 (6,050%),以及 Spread -2.5 (5,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds9150.0%$222.7K9150¢-9050¢
3Spread -1.57950.0%$5777950¢-7850¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.57300.0%$1.4K7300¢-7200¢
5O/U 7.56050.0%$4.1K6050¢-5950¢
6Spread -2.55850.0%$5.1K5850¢-5750¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55750.0%$45750¢-5650¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55150.0%$3655150¢-5050¢
9Cincinnati Reds O/U 1.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
11Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
12Cincinnati Reds O/U 0.55050.0%$105050¢-4950¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$3655000¢-4900¢
141st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$175000¢-4900¢
16Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Cincinnati Reds O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Cincinnati Reds O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 8.54950.0%$36.8K4950¢-4850¢
23Extra Innings4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
24Spread -3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
25O/U 9.54450.0%$10.5K4450¢-4350¢
26Spread -1.5400.0%$577400¢-300¢
27Spread -2.5350.0%$5.1K350¢-250¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 15 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 15, 2026

  • 11:17 PM
    0X0x85264d29Fa7279946D15105C17eB6C2533f572aA-1769753734561
    $12.06

    Bought 24.612245 Over for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 at 0.49

  • 11:16 PM
    $17.50

    Bought 50 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 11:15 PM
    $71.82

    Bought 199.5 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:15 PM
    $71.82

    Bought 199.5 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:15 PM
    $71.82

    Bought 199.5 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:15 PM
    $58.68

    Bought 163 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:14 PM
    $17.50

    Bought 50 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 11:13 PM
    $24.50

    Bought 50 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 11:13 PM
    $18.00

    Bought 50 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:13 PM
    $18.50

    Bought 50 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 11:10 PM
    WRWreckedBag
    $1.90

    Bought 5 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.38

  • 11:10 PM
    $75.81

    Bought 199.5 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) at 0.38

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
+$138.62
成交量
$64,870.49
持仓数
Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers
DO2
Donkey14
事件盈亏
+$168.69
成交量
$33,665.35
持仓数
Cincinnati Reds
FE3
Feromont
事件盈亏
-$160.00
成交量
$32,000.00
持仓数
Cincinnati Reds
F54
0xf559…7740
事件盈亏
-$144.90
成交量
$28,985.51
持仓数
Los Angeles Dodgers
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$39.12
成交量
$23,575.37
持仓数
Cincinnati RedsUnderUnder+1
DV6
dv-pm
事件盈亏
+$76.73
成交量
$15,346.00
持仓数
Cincinnati Reds
MO7
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
-$0.09
成交量
$10,017.00
持仓数
Over
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$354.63
成交量
$9,352.19
持仓数
UnderCincinnati RedsLos Angeles Dodgers+4

常见问题

当前市场对「Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds(9,150%),以及 Spread -1.5(7,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $218.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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