Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$110.7K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
概率趋势
Tampa Bay Rays 50.5%
Houston Astros 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,NRFI 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 8,100% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $110.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • NRFI (9,995%):NRFI 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持着 8,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,100¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,950%):以 6,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (6,550%)、1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,900%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (5,750%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1NRFI9995.0%$5.3K9995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.56550.0%$206550¢-6450¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55900.0%$105900¢-5800¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 5.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 6.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
8O/U 7.55650.0%$14.1K5650¢-5550¢
9Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays4950.0%$191.0K4950¢-4850¢
11O/U 8.54850.0%$13.4K4850¢-4750¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.54150.0%$104150¢-4050¢
13Spread -1.53650.0%$2.1K3650¢-3550¢
14O/U 9.53650.0%$2.5K3650¢-3550¢
15Spread -1.53250.0%$2.1K3250¢-3150¢
16Spread -2.52550.0%$172550¢-2450¢
17Spread -2.52050.0%$172050¢-1950¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 12 at 6:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 10:12 PM
    VIviamvadens
    $11.20

    Sold 23.34 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.48

  • 10:12 PM
    WOwoshilong
    $19.03

    Bought 38.836735 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    VIviamvadens
    $11.44

    Bought 23.346939 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    GLglinomessi
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $87.22

    Bought 178 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    16168888888168
    $4.68

    Bought 9.551021 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.49

  • 10:12 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.48

  • 10:12 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $45.90

    Bought 91.8 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.5

  • 10:12 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1,072.48

    Bought 2144.956 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.5

  • 10:12 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $147.79

    Bought 307.89796 Tampa Bay Rays for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$15.57
成交量
$8,305.83
持仓数
OverUnderHouston Astros+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$6.48
成交量
$5,019.00
持仓数
UnderOverYes+2
MA3
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
+$54.99
成交量
$3,635.81
持仓数
Under
FL4
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
+$18.18
成交量
$3,634.39
持仓数
UnderUnder
WA5
wapol
事件盈亏
-$30.17
成交量
$2,073.26
持仓数
OverUnderHouston Astros
JA6
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$10.26
成交量
$2,052.00
持仓数
Over
BE7
betabot
事件盈亏
+$27.27
成交量
$1,818.00
持仓数
Under
BR8
brendoncarson
事件盈亏
-$15.00
成交量
$1,500.00
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,NRFI 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(8,100%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $110.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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