Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

$260.9K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Kansas City Royals 100.0%
Cleveland Guardians 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Kansas City Royals O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场;Extra Innings 以 45% 位居第二,Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 以 35% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $260.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Kansas City Royals O/U 2.5 (9,955%):Kansas City Royals O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Extra Innings (45%):作为最可行的替代选项,Extra Innings 保持着 45% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 45¢。
  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 (35%):以 35% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 (35%)、Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.5 (35%),以及 Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 (35%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Kansas City Royals O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Kansas City Royals O/U 2.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
2Extra Innings45.0%—45¢55¢
3Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.535.0%—35¢65¢
4Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.535.0%—35¢65¢
5Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.535.0%—35¢65¢
6Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.535.0%—35¢65¢
7Kansas City Royals O/U 3.535.0%—35¢65¢
8Kansas City Royals O/U 4.535.0%—35¢65¢
9Kansas City Royals O/U 5.535.0%—35¢65¢
10Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals5.0%$196.9K5¢95¢
11Spread -1.55.0%$7.9K5¢95¢
12O/U 8.55.0%$25.5K5¢95¢
13Spread -2.55.0%$1.6K5¢95¢
14Spread -1.55.0%$7.9K5¢95¢
15Spread -2.55.0%$1.6K5¢95¢
16O/U 7.55.0%$9.1K5¢95¢
17O/U 9.55.0%$4.0K5¢95¢
18Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.55.0%$475¢95¢
19O/U 6.55.0%$4095¢95¢
20O/U 5.55.0%$3755¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:00 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.64

  • 11:36 AM
    EVEVryBet4
    $4.61

    Bought 12.81 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.36

  • 11:33 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 169.491526 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 09:26 AM
    DVdvfb25gv
    $8.00

    Bought 14.035088 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.57

  • 09:26 AM
    HGhgvnk
    $10.12

    Bought 22.99 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 09:22 AM
    FGfgcdgcfv
    $7.92

    Bought 18 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 09:22 AM
    GHghfg58
    $10.26

    Bought 18 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.57

  • 08:35 AM
    MAmarlondichicu
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 06:51 AM
    EXexpene
    $9.12

    Bought 16 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.57

  • 06:17 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 06:17 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $13.20

    Bought 30 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 05:39 AM
    ANAntonyHokins
    $2.02

    Bought 3.672728 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$916.65
成交量
$14,010.06
持仓数
Kansas City Royals
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$441.77
成交量
$10,794.00
持仓数
Kansas City Royals
AN3
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
-$1,577.08
成交量
$6,832.32
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
DA4
dabossrealman
事件盈亏
+$462.31
成交量
$5,501.56
持仓数
Kansas City Royals
8E5
0x8efa…894c
事件盈亏
-$925.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
ME6
mentionmarket
事件盈亏
-$585.92
成交量
$3,551.00
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
SA7
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
-$533.46
成交量
$2,883.59
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$0.01
成交量
$2,535.63
持仓数
Kansas City Royals

常见问题

当前市场对「Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Kansas City Royals O/U 2.5 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Extra Innings(45%),以及 Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5(35%)。该市场总成交量已达 $260.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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