Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

$109.7K Vol
2026年10月16日
Active
概率趋势
Cleveland Guardians 51.5%
Chicago White Sox 48.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 8,050% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,750% 位居第二,Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 以 6,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $109.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 (8,050%):Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,750%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持着 6,750% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,750¢。
  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 (6,550%):以 6,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 (6,250%)、O/U 6.5 (5,850%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Chicago White Sox O/U 1.58050.0%$5.0K8050¢-7950¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
3Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
4Chicago White Sox O/U 2.56250.0%$916250¢-6150¢
5O/U 6.55850.0%$4.0K5850¢-5750¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.55250.0%$225250¢-5150¢
7Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox5150.0%$62.3K5150¢-5050¢
8Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
9Chicago White Sox O/U 3.54700.0%$824700¢-4600¢
10O/U 7.54450.0%$18.5K4450¢-4350¢
11NRFI4350.0%$8.0K4350¢-4250¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.53900.0%$633900¢-3800¢
13Spread -1.53750.0%$2.8K3750¢-3650¢
14Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
15O/U 8.53750.0%$2.8K3750¢-3650¢
16Chicago White Sox O/U 4.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
17Spread -1.53050.0%$2.8K3050¢-2950¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.52850.0%$5002850¢-2750¢
191st 5 Innings O/U 5.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%$5002750¢-2650¢
21Spread -2.52650.0%$2.3K2650¢-2550¢
22Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
23Chicago White Sox O/U 5.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
24Spread -2.52000.0%$2.3K2000¢-1900¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 6.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
26Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
27Extra Innings900.0%$109900¢-800¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:59 PM
    ZOZoriuqAmsedel
    $1.57

    Bought 3.270834 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 01:32 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $134.37

    Bought 194.739129 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 01:26 PM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.45

    Bought 5.104167 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 01:26 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $954.00

    Bought 1800 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 12:51 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $37.50

    Bought 101.351352 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:38 PM
    ——
    $150.00

    Bought 245.901638 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.61

  • 12:30 PM
    JOjorgeadrian
    $3.30

    Bought 5.15625 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:08 PM
    DEdelmore
    $251.95

    Bought 406.378226 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.62

  • 12:03 PM
    HFhfdsuifhuioeahdfei
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128206 Under for Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.39

  • 11:57 AM
    SHShadyyym
    $25.58

    Sold 41.25 Over for Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.62

  • 11:26 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $16.50

    Bought 55 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.3

  • 10:29 AM
    ENEnchilado
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
+$2.34
成交量
$23,243.54
持仓数
Cleveland Guardians
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$96.49
成交量
$11,769.00
持仓数
NoChicago White SoxUnder+2
NS3
NS13
事件盈亏
-$58.44
成交量
$11,690.59
持仓数
Chicago White Sox
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$263.70
成交量
$10,706.36
持仓数
Over
MO5
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$222.18
成交量
$8,887.02
持仓数
Under
666
0x661f…098a
事件盈亏
+$48.18
成交量
$6,310.66
持仓数
Yes
SB7
sbsigner
事件盈亏
-$17.77
成交量
$3,553.84
持仓数
Chicago White Sox
028
0x021C…0808
事件盈亏
-$13.00
成交量
$2,600.00
持仓数
Chicago White Sox

常见问题

当前市场对「Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 以 8,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,750%),以及 Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5(6,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $109.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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