Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
核心摘要
根据「Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Cincinnati Reds 以压倒性的 9,965% 获胜概率主导市场；Chicago Cubs 以 35% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $191.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Cincinnati Reds (9,965%)：Cincinnati Reds 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,965¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Chicago Cubs (35%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Chicago Cubs 保持着 35% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 35¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9965.0% | — | 9965¢ | -9865¢ |
| 2 | Chicago Cubs | 35.0% | — | 35¢ | 65¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 20 at 1:40PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.
This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 20, 2026
- 09:53 AMNInigiri99$5.20
Bought 13 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.4
- 09:52 AMFVfvckjumpjanes$10.00
Bought 16.393443 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61
- 09:20 AMYOYosooooooo$1.26
Bought 2.065574 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61
- 08:17 AM959527888$22.32
Bought 55.8 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.4
- 07:00 AMYOYosooooooo$1.26
Bought 2.065574 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61
- 06:21 AMFIfizzwont$24.40
Bought 61.01 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.4
- 06:06 AM0X0xE5d2Eb130304f714CCdB1158Cce66564b5740814-1770145113534$2.88
Bought 7.384616 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.39
- 06:05 AMNInigiri99$99.45
Bought 255 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.39
- 06:05 AMNInigiri99$3.12
Bought 8 Cincinnati Reds for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.39
- 05:39 AMBOBozouro$5.00
Bought 8.064515 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.62
- 05:34 AMYOYosooooooo$1.00
Bought 1.612902 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.62
- 03:59 AM——$6.37
Bought 10.442623 Chicago Cubs for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.61
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Cincinnati Reds 以 9,965% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Chicago Cubs（35%）。该市场总成交量已达 $191.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。