Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?

根据「Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Bolsonaro 以压倒性的 9,900% 获胜概率主导市场；Lula 以 100% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $84.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Bolsonaro (9,900%)：Bolsonaro 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,900¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Lula (100%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Lula 保持着 100% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 100¢。

Each market in this event will resolve to "Lula" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on that market's listed date.

Each market in this event will resolve to "Bolsonaro" if Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value is higher than Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on that market's listed date.

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's and Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50.

An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).

If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after that market's listed date for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or Flávio Bolsonaro in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.

If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50.

If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/brazil-president-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.