LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

$171.7K Vol
2026年9月18日
Active
概率趋势
JD Gaming 61.5%
Team WE 38.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,750% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $171.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,000%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $13.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,750% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,750¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%):以 6,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? (6,750%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,700%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7000.0%$13.2K7000¢-6900¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
19First Blood in Game 2?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
20First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
27First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
28First Blood in Game 1?4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4250.0%$974250¢-4150¢
32Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)4200.0%$5.7K4200¢-4100¢
33Game 4 Winner4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
34Game 1 Winner4050.0%$18.8K4050¢-3950¢
35Game 2 Winner4050.0%$5.4K4050¢-3950¢
36Game 3 Winner4050.0%$5.3K4050¢-3950¢
37Match Winner3850.0%$124.6K3850¢-3750¢
38O/U 4.5 Games3200.0%$11.7K3200¢-3100¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
43Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
45Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
50Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)1750.0%$4281750¢-1650¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%1500¢-1400¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 17, 2026

  • 09:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.95

    Bought 5 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 08:26 AM
    SUsuntori
    $14.28

    Bought 24.20339 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 08:24 AM
    SUsuntori
    $19.99

    Bought 47.595239 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 07:26 AM
    PAparkjiwoo-GOODLUCK
    $1.50

    Bought 2.542373 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 06:54 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.14

    Bought 2.714286 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 06:39 AM
    LElejendsjian
    $29.40

    Bought 70 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 05:47 AM
    VVvvccs
    $12.01

    Bought 32.45946 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.37

  • 05:46 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $3.80

    Bought 9.04762 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 04:39 AM
    ZAZarculBot
    $3.13

    Bought 5.305085 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 04:39 AM
    MAmadefuk
    $59.00

    Bought 100 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 04:39 AM
    DZdzq111
    $42.00

    Bought 100 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 04:39 AM
    XIxiuzhifu
    $59.00

    Bought 100 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TH1
therealdragonwarrior
事件盈亏
+$198.40
成交量
$23,651.98
持仓数
JD Gaming
VI2
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$73.96
成交量
$10,371.43
持仓数
JD Gaming
DR3
drunkdegenerate
事件盈亏
+$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
JD Gaming
NO4
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
-$41.97
成交量
$9,145.61
持仓数
Team WETeam WEJD Gaming
TI5
TIENWEI
事件盈亏
-$107.82
成交量
$7,188.14
持仓数
Team WE
SU6
suntori
事件盈亏
-$72.68
成交量
$6,627.42
持仓数
JD GamingTeam WEUnder
GT7
gthertert
事件盈亏
+$32.55
成交量
$6,508.87
持仓数
JD Gaming
ZZ8
Zzzz87
事件盈亏
+$27.73
成交量
$6,119.00
持仓数
JD GamingTeam WE

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,750%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $171.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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