LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$1.3M Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
BNK FEARX 62.5%
LGD Gaming 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.3M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $656.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (9,950%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (7,500%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? (7,500%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$656.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$189950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5155.0%—5155¢-5055¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4845.0%—4845¢-4745¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
31Match Winner3650.0%$354.6K3650¢-3550¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
33First Blood in Game 1?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
34First Blood in Game 2?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40.0%$1.2K40¢60¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40.0%$5940¢60¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$323.8K5¢95¢
39Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$8.9K5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between LGD Gaming and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against LGD Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:19 AM
    0X0x6e5Bc791e132Cc7D4e01154AB3b8287C2C5144a5-1767747604417
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 01:18 AM
    NInigiri99
    $18.24

    Bought 38 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 01:17 AM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 LGD Gaming for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.44

  • 01:13 AM
    0X0x2Ba2AA4DE674376Bd540B8Cecfd0E4aa4977327D-1788199685015
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:07 AM
    DHdhamp
    $9.69

    Bought 17 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 01:05 AM
    THthb9037
    $5.70

    Bought 10 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:02 AM
    MAMastergreen
    $20.10

    Bought 35.263158 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:01 AM
    0X0x6891B1Bf1A8AD4cb9389Aa5FDD138708F4bD9d28-1782697495689
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:01 AM
    JZjzr09
    $2.00

    Bought 2.857143 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 01:00 AM
    JTJtiz
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 12:58 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 12:58 AM
    FRfrieren67
    $44.00

    Bought 100 LGD Gaming for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.44

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SU1
suntori
事件盈亏
-$80.72
成交量
$15,194.27
持仓数
BNK FEARXLGD Gaming
DR2
drunkdegenerate
事件盈亏
+$75.00
成交量
$14,999.94
持仓数
LGD Gaming
VI3
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$63.36
成交量
$10,215.75
持仓数
LGD Gaming
AR4
arrombabets
事件盈亏
-$32.06
成交量
$2,598.12
持仓数
BNK FEARX
FB5
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
+$30.93
成交量
$2,062.12
持仓数
LGD Gaming
DE6
delacsynzy1
事件盈亏
+$8.28
成交量
$1,655.18
持仓数
BNK FEARX
MK7
mk3over
事件盈亏
-$6.58
成交量
$1,315.79
持仓数
BNK FEARX
IC8
IcaroRaph
事件盈亏
+$6.00
成交量
$1,200.32
持仓数
BNK FEARX

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.3M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始