LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$409.4K Vol
2026年9月11日
Active
概率趋势
KT Rolster Challengers 92.5%
DN SOOPers Challengers 7.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 以 9,965% 位居第二,First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $409.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $374.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (9,965%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 保持着 9,965% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,965¢。
  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 First Blood in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (9,950%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Game 2 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$374.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?9965.0%$1.4K9965¢-9865¢
3First Blood in Game 2?9955.0%$1279955¢-9855¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$869950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$719950¢-9850¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
7Game 2 Winner9250.0%$211.0K9250¢-9150¢
8Match Winner9050.0%$157.2K9050¢-8950¢
9First Blood in Game 1?7500.0%7500¢-7400¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?7000.0%$3.8K7000¢-6900¢
11Game 3 Winner6050.0%$2.3K6050¢-5950¢
12Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)5900.0%$39.4K5900¢-5800¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5800.0%$865800¢-5700¢
14Game 4 Winner5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5250.0%$4415250¢-5150¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$865000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$865000¢-4900¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$3.1K5000¢-4900¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$365000¢-4900¢
50Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5)4950.0%$1.1K4950¢-4850¢
51Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
52Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
53Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
54Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
55Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
56O/U 3.5 Games4000.0%$3.2K4000¢-3900¢
57Odd/Even Total Kills3950.0%$863950¢-3850¢
58O/U 4.5 Games2150.0%$3082150¢-2050¢
59Game Handicap: DNS.C (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)50.0%$1050¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between KT Rolster Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 10, 2026

  • 11:42 PM
    NINicksypoo
    $465.71

    Bought 878.703704 DN SOOPers Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) at 0.53

  • 11:38 PM
    $4.00

    Bought 6.153845 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:16 PM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $600.00

    Bought 923.076922 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:13 PM
    $13.00

    Bought 20 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:11 PM
    CScsgamer11
    $696.90

    Bought 1072.153845 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:01 PM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $1,183.95

    Sold 1849.92 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.64

  • 10:19 PM
    HUhungrycrocodile4444
    $2.00

    Bought 3.076922 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 10:15 PM
    $10.00

    Bought 15.384614 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 10:04 PM
    JSJslqtepl24
    $20.00

    Bought 30.769231 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 10:03 PM
    NInikipiki
    $7.65

    Bought 14.433963 DN SOOPers Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) at 0.53

  • 09:52 PM
    OTottawan
    $65.00

    Bought 100 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.65

  • 09:48 PM
    $29.17

    Sold 83.33 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.35

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件盈亏
-$764.87
成交量
$17,415.16
持仓数
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
BI2
bitmoney88
事件盈亏
-$71.61
成交量
$10,000.15
持仓数
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
CS3
csgamer11
事件盈亏
+$322.82
成交量
$7,002.94
持仓数
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
AL4
alexdave888
事件盈亏
+$85.02
成交量
$6,959.45
持仓数
DN SOOPers Challengers
MY5
mythos1.8
事件盈亏
+$27.79
成交量
$5,556.28
持仓数
DN SOOPers Challengers
GO6
Gooooooollllllllll
事件盈亏
+$62.61
成交量
$4,173.94
持仓数
DN SOOPers Challengers
577
0x57b2…6696
事件盈亏
+$168.56
成交量
$3,745.69
持仓数
DN SOOPers Challengers
A68
0xA6A2…3002
事件盈亏
-$20.97
成交量
$3,738.00
持仓数
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?(9,965%),以及 First Blood in Game 2?(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $409.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始