LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$187.5K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
概率趋势
KT Rolster 88.5%
Team Vitality 11.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 8,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) 以 7,350% 位居第二,Game 1 Winner 以 7,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $187.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (8,750%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $76.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) (7,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) 保持着 7,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,350¢。
  • Game 1 Winner (7,150%):以 7,150% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Game 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Game 2 Winner (7,050%)、Game 3 Winner (7,050%),以及 Game 4 Winner (6,750%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner8750.0%$76.0K8750¢-8650¢
2Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)7350.0%$24.2K7350¢-7250¢
3Game 1 Winner7150.0%$13.0K7150¢-7050¢
4Game 2 Winner7050.0%$10.7K7050¢-6950¢
5Game 3 Winner7050.0%$6.8K7050¢-6950¢
6Game 4 Winner6750.0%$3.0K6750¢-6650¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6500.0%$4.7K6500¢-6400¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6300.0%$2.0K6300¢-6200¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5650.0%$1.3K5650¢-5550¢
10O/U 3.5 Games5450.0%$5.7K5450¢-5350¢
11First Blood in Game 3?5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
42First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
43First Blood in Game 2?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
45Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)4250.0%$36.8K4250¢-4150¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
48O/U 4.5 Games2250.0%$3.2K2250¢-2150¢
49Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
50Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢
51Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Team Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against KT Rolster.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 11, 2026

  • 11:49 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $12.46

    Bought 14 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.89

  • 11:42 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $20.00

    Bought 58.82353 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner at 0.34

  • 11:40 AM
    NIniiotyo
    $25.56

    Bought 38.149254 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner at 0.67

  • 11:39 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $46.40

    Bought 145 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner at 0.32

  • 11:16 AM
    ONonseason
    $2.00

    Bought 2.5974 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner at 0.77

  • 11:16 AM
    NOnotbig
    $20.00

    Bought 25.974026 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner at 0.77

  • 11:06 AM
    SLSlowbathroom
    $48.95

    Bought 55 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:54 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $49.92

    Bought 60.149518 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.83

  • 10:47 AM
    KUkurtz180
    $5.00

    Bought 41.666667 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.12

  • 10:46 AM
    THTheBlackPearl2003
    $4.45

    Bought 5 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:44 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 39.666667 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.12

  • 09:12 AM
    LIligeiwoguolai
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FR1
freeman123
事件盈亏
-$57.00
成交量
$11,400.00
持仓数
KT Rolster
HE2
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$50.00
成交量
$9,999.97
持仓数
Team Vitality
SI3
SimpleTony
事件盈亏
+$41.25
成交量
$8,249.95
持仓数
Team Vitality
SU4
suntori
事件盈亏
-$2.11
成交量
$2,389.18
持仓数
KT RolsterOver
685
0x68C9…6530
事件盈亏
+$5.90
成交量
$2,172.31
持仓数
Team Vitality
NI6
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$7.23
成交量
$1,922.00
持仓数
Team VitalityUnder
MU7
musndk
事件盈亏
-$7.89
成交量
$1,579.00
持仓数
KT Rolster
FB8
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
+$3.25
成交量
$1,550.00
持仓数
KT Rolster

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 8,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)(7,350%),以及 Game 1 Winner(7,150%)。该市场总成交量已达 $187.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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