LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

$324.4K Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
概率趋势
Karmine Corp Blue 99.0%
Skillcamp Esport 1.1%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $324.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $35.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Game 2 Winner 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Game 3 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Match Winner (9,995%)、Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5) (9,995%),以及 Game Handicap: KCB (-2.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+2.5) (9,995%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$35.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$96.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 3 Winner9995.0%$90.9K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$54.7K9995¢-9895¢
5Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)9995.0%$22.6K9995¢-9895¢
6Game Handicap: KCB (-2.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+2.5)9995.0%$8.5K9995¢-9895¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
8First Blood in Game 1?9100.0%$569100¢-9000¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Game 4 Winner4950.0%$1.8K4950¢-4850¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
26Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
28Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%$5950¢-850¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
32Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
33First Blood in Game 3?950.0%—950¢-850¢
34First Blood in Game 2?950.0%—950¢-850¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills900.0%—900¢-800¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
38Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
39Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%$550¢50¢
40Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
42O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$11.3K5¢95¢
43O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$2.5K5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Round of 16 match between Karmine Corp Blue and Skillcamp Esport in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against Skillcamp Esport.

This market will resolve to "Skillcamp Esport" if Skillcamp Esport win the match against Karmine Corp Blue.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:49 PM
    SMsmokeyy001
    $5.00

    Bought 6.410254 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.78

  • 12:48 PM
    CScsgamer11
    $163.95

    Bought 712.826087 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.23

  • 12:39 PM
    MIMinne2507
    $10.05

    Bought 17.033897 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.59

  • 12:39 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.12

    Bought 45.6 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.2

  • 12:38 PM
    FIFireCatMan
    $1.00

    Bought 5 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.2

  • 12:38 PM
    SUsuntori
    $4.76

    Bought 5.876542 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.81

  • 12:33 PM
    MAMarlaSinger1999
    $69.00

    Bought 100 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner at 0.69

  • 12:32 PM
    OZozz3
    $10.00

    Bought 12.345678 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.81

  • 12:32 PM
    OZozz3
    $30.00

    Bought 37.037036 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.81

  • 12:30 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Karmine Corp Blue for Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5) at 0.68

  • 12:29 PM
    Q1q136084
    $38.90

    Bought 117.878788 Skillcamp Esport for Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5) at 0.33

  • 12:09 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $198.50

    Bought 348.24356 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.57

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

QW1
qwe258
事件盈亏
+$11.54
成交量
$22,917.11
持仓数
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue+3
042
0x048f…9992
事件盈亏
-$28.61
成交量
$21,960.91
持仓数
Skillcamp EsportSkillcamp EsportSkillcamp Esport+1
693
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
-$9.06
成交量
$21,178.67
持仓数
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue+4
AL4
alpheclabs
事件盈亏
-$277.96
成交量
$20,892.38
持仓数
Skillcamp EsportSkillcamp EsportSkillcamp Esport+1
JI5
jiafanpomarke001
事件盈亏
+$7.76
成交量
$15,492.35
持仓数
Karmine Corp Blue
SU6
Sunshine.Smile
事件盈亏
+$2,416.47
成交量
$15,462.24
持仓数
Karmine Corp Blue
NO7
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
-$2,570.27
成交量
$14,025.42
持仓数
Skillcamp EsportSkillcamp EsportSkillcamp Esport+1
BB8
BBQChickenisthebesttt
事件盈亏
+$2,848.39
成交量
$12,986.89
持仓数
Karmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp BlueKarmine Corp Blue+1

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(9,995%),以及 Game 3 Winner(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $324.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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