LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

$238K Vol
2026年9月12日
Active
概率趋势
Hanwha Life Esports 59.5%
T1 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,450% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5? 以 7,200% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 5,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $238K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,450%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $4.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5? (7,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5? 保持着 7,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,200¢。
  • Match Winner (5,950%):以 5,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Match Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (5,900%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,850%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7450.0%$4.7K7450¢-7350¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?7200.0%7200¢-7100¢
3Match Winner5950.0%$232.0K5950¢-5850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5650.0%$325650¢-5550¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5600.0%5600¢-5500¢
11Game 1 Winner5550.0%$1.5K5550¢-5450¢
12Game 2 Winner5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
13Game 3 Winner5550.0%$185550¢-5450¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
21First Blood in Game 3?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
22First Blood in Game 5?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
23First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32First Blood in Game 1?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
33Game 4 Winner4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
34Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
36Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)4050.0%$1.5K4050¢-3950¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
43Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
45Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
46O/U 4.5 Games3500.0%$473500¢-3400¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
48Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
49Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
51Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
52Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
53Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
54Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)1950.0%$8651950¢-1850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Hanwha Life Esports and T1 in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Hanwha Life Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 11, 2026

  • 10:26 AM
    FAfakeso
    $20.00

    Bought 31.746032 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.63

  • 10:23 AM
    0X0xC8e400e2ff07bf2d6c945087003912Bb7A2F1f1F-1765373721201
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 T1 for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs at 0.4

  • 10:16 AM
    GAGaryMarket
    $3.00

    Bought 8.571429 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.35

  • 10:14 AM
    GAGaryMarket
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666667 T1 for Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 10:14 AM
    GAGaryMarket
    $10.00

    Bought 25 T1 for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs at 0.4

  • 10:14 AM
    0X0x08043b52381131dDAE5BF20a7F65f980FAfDa892-1787756178915
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393443 Hanwha Life Esports for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs at 0.61

  • 09:59 AM
    0X0x1703118a5c0625E32933971C36Df9023dAA46a8c-1779808171825
    $1.00

    Bought 1.515152 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.66

  • 09:57 AM
    0X0x1703118a5c0625E32933971C36Df9023dAA46a8c-1779808171825
    $1.00

    Bought 1.515152 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.66

  • 09:46 AM
    0X0x334DE55Eb688d474F5915AA083acfBe7836546C1-1778926299127
    $0.02

    Sold 0.03 T1 for Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 09:45 AM
    0X0x334DE55Eb688d474F5915AA083acfBe7836546C1-1778926299127
    $4.95

    Bought 8.389831 T1 for Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 09:45 AM
    0X0x334DE55Eb688d474F5915AA083acfBe7836546C1-1778926299127
    $4.95

    Bought 6.036583 T1 for Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) at 0.82

  • 09:34 AM
    WAWangqiang8
    $4.89

    Sold 11.11 T1 for LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner at 0.44

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

2A1
0x2a07…7354
事件盈亏
+$681.76
成交量
$136,014.50
持仓数
T1
NI2
niulai1024
事件盈亏
+$70.10
成交量
$40,000.05
持仓数
Hanwha Life Esports
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件盈亏
+$101.48
成交量
$20,832.06
持仓数
T1T1
TH4
therealdragonwarrior
事件盈亏
-$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持仓数
Hanwha Life Esports
GO5
Gooooooollllllllll
事件盈亏
-$70.43
成交量
$15,183.00
持仓数
Hanwha Life EsportsHanwha Life Esports
PE6
PetsViljandist
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持仓数
Hanwha Life Esports
JE7
jellyfish44
事件盈亏
-$62.50
成交量
$12,500.00
持仓数
Hanwha Life Esports
738
730n9
事件盈亏
-$54.03
成交量
$10,807.39
持仓数
T1

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?(7,200%),以及 Match Winner(5,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $238K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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