LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

$178.2K Vol
2026年9月30日
Active
概率趋势
Estral Esports 95.5%
9z Globant 4.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Odd/Even Total Kills 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $178.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $38.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Odd/Even Total Kills 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Match Winner (9,840%)、Game 2 Winner (9,750%),以及 Game 3 Winner (8,870%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$38.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills9995.0%$209995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Match Winner9840.0%$48.7K9840¢-9740¢
5Game 2 Winner9750.0%$22.9K9750¢-9650¢
6Game 3 Winner8870.0%$20.1K8870¢-8770¢
7Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5)6250.0%$33.0K6250¢-6150¢
8Game 4 Winner5650.0%$1.7K5650¢-5550¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
35Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs 9z Globant (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
37Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
38O/U 3.5 Games1650.0%$13.2K1650¢-1550¢
39O/U 4.5 Games800.0%—800¢-700¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Estral Esports and 9z Globant in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against 9z Globant.

This market will resolve to "9z Globant" if 9z Globant win the match against Estral Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 29, 2026

  • 09:16 PM
    LOLOL-King
    $10.69

    Bought 11.14 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:16 PM
    0X0x64e36DBc2c24Cf1031E50F51FB36952415d7b275-1770773838910
    $19.40

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.97

  • 09:16 PM
    NOnorm1e69
    $9.70

    Bought 10 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.97

  • 09:15 PM
    NOnorm1e69
    $19.20

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    ASAstonMastin
    $52.80

    Bought 55 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    3838791873984189
    $2.40

    Sold 240 9z Globant for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.01

  • 09:14 PM
    3838791873984189
    $9.93

    Bought 10.0303 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.99

  • 09:14 PM
    SBsbsigner
    $4.95

    Bought 5 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.99

  • 09:14 PM
    0X0x64e36DBc2c24Cf1031E50F51FB36952415d7b275-1770773838910
    $19.20

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    JAjackmeghivott
    $0.44

    Bought 8.75 9z Globant for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.05

  • 09:14 PM
    NOnorm1e69
    $48.00

    Bought 50 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    ARarahbo
    $2.54

    Bought 50.88 9z Globant for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.05

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CO1
ColdBlooded
事件盈亏
+$249.15
成交量
$73,504.68
持仓数
Estral EsportsEstral EsportsEstral Esports+2
AN2
Anjun
事件盈亏
+$0.00
成交量
$22,222.00
持仓数
9z Globant
NO3
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
+$608.95
成交量
$15,510.46
持仓数
9z Globant9z Globant9z Globant+2
PU4
purplegatto
事件盈亏
-$63.86
成交量
$12,920.05
持仓数
9z Globant9z Globant
BL5
bloodmaster
事件盈亏
+$495.16
成交量
$10,461.28
持仓数
UnderEstral EsportsEstral Esports+2
BA6
Baosen0412
事件盈亏
-$5.26
成交量
$5,734.30
持仓数
9z Globant9z Globant9z Globant
CS7
csgamer11
事件盈亏
-$6.77
成交量
$5,307.73
持仓数
9z Globant9z Globant9z Globant
NI8
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$54.32
成交量
$4,227.00
持仓数
Over9z Globant9z Globant+2

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Odd/Even Total Kills(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $178.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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