LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$73.8K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
概率趋势
Nongshim Esports Academy 50.5%
Dplus KIA Challengers 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,450% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $73.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,250%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,450¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%):以 6,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,400%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7250.0%$1.2K7250¢-7150¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
10Game 4 Winner5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Match Winner4950.0%$68.2K4950¢-4850¢
20Game 2 Winner4850.0%$6284850¢-4750¢
21Game 3 Winner4850.0%$7754850¢-4750¢
22Game 1 Winner4750.0%$1.7K4750¢-4650¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
25O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$6693550¢-3450¢
26Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)3350.0%$2003350¢-3250¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
36Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
37Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
38Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
39Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+2.5)1450.0%$4951450¢-1350¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Dplus KIA Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:39 PM
    KAkantesher
    $30.46

    Bought 59.725491 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $32.50

    Bought 65 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $79.00

    Bought 158 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:18 PM
    $77.14

    Bought 157.428572 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:18 PM
    $197.35

    Bought 402.75 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:17 PM
    XEXerebusX
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:16 PM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:15 PM
    RORobertLee443
    $50.00

    Bought 102.040817 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:13 PM
    $792.11

    Bought 1616.549184 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:13 PM
    CUcustus
    $2.90

    Bought 5.471697 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.53

  • 08:13 PM
    $129.50

    Bought 269.791667 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:12 PM
    $191.25

    Bought 406.914894 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NE1
neutralwave23
事件盈亏
-$14.26
成交量
$960.12
持仓数
OverDplus KIA ChallengersOver
BI2
bit754
事件盈亏
+$4.37
成交量
$855.17
持仓数
Dplus KIA Challengers
483
48moneymaker
事件盈亏
-$20.56
成交量
$819.49
持仓数
Dplus KIA ChallengersDplus KIA Challengers
LM4
lmtscapt
事件盈亏
+$5.73
成交量
$728.42
持仓数
Nongshim Esports AcademyUnderNongshim Esports Academy+1
AN5
antec
事件盈亏
+$8.67
成交量
$632.32
持仓数
Nongshim Esports AcademyUnderUnder+1
SN6
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
-$2.84
成交量
$568.98
持仓数
Dplus KIA ChallengersNongshim Esports Academy
1W7
1winstreak1
事件盈亏
-$2.62
成交量
$523.30
持仓数
Nongshim Esports Academy
NO8
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
+$9.05
成交量
$277.00
持仓数
Nongshim Esports Academy

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,450%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $73.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始