LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$103.6K Vol
2026年9月14日
Active
概率趋势
KT Rolster Challengers 56.5%
Dplus KIA Challengers 43.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 以 6,950% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $103.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,550%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $20.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? (6,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 保持着 6,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,950¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? (6,750%):以 6,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (6,750%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7550.0%$20.7K7550¢-7450¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?6950.0%6950¢-6850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
8First Blood in Game 3?6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
9First Blood in Game 4?6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5450.0%$1.3K5450¢-5350¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5400.0%$3135400¢-5300¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5200.0%$1035200¢-5100¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24First Blood in Game 5?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Game 1 Winner4750.0%$3.3K4750¢-4650¢
33First Blood in Game 2?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
34Game 2 Winner4650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
35Game 3 Winner4650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
36Game 4 Winner4450.0%$64450¢-4350¢
37Match Winner4350.0%$66.6K4350¢-4250¢
38Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
39Both Teams Slay a Dragon4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
40Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)3750.0%$6643750¢-3650¢
41First Blood in Game 1?3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
43O/U 4.5 Games3500.0%$7.5K3500¢-3400¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
48Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)2850.0%$3162850¢-2750¢
49Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
50Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
51Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
52Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
53Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
54Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
55Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
56Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
57Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
58Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+2.5)1750.0%$161750¢-1650¢
59Any Player Penta Kill1150.0%1150¢-1050¢
60Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)950.0%$318950¢-850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 13, 2026

  • 10:58 PM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.80

    Bought 5.090908 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.55

  • 10:58 PM
    ASasakku
    $32.20

    Bought 70 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.46

  • 10:54 PM
    DRDredgerton
    $52.93

    Bought 79 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.67

  • 10:52 PM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.80

    Bought 5.090908 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.55

  • 10:52 PM
    STstrafezin
    $340.22

    Bought 739.608696 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.46

  • 10:45 PM
    DDddamian
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.73

  • 10:43 PM
    SMsmye100
    $20.00

    Bought 43.478261 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.46

  • 10:42 PM
    MMMM26MM26
    $1.35

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.27

  • 10:40 PM
    SPsport909bot
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? at 0.48

  • 10:40 PM
    SPsport909bot
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.47

  • 10:39 PM
    JUjuanuski
    $317.67

    Bought 588.28 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.54

  • 10:39 PM
    0X0x4a379A16C2B431e0189B9E9B865B25F20C5Ef006-1769047148982
    $13.00

    Bought 24.074073 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.54

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

VI1
Villson
事件盈亏
-$6.94
成交量
$22,522.82
持仓数
Dplus KIA ChallengersOverOver+3
692
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
+$50.54
成交量
$19,138.13
持仓数
KT Rolster ChallengersUnderUnder+4
A33
0xa3B5…0736
事件盈亏
-$5.04
成交量
$4,521.56
持仓数
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+1
AM4
am100
事件盈亏
+$43.85
成交量
$4,109.24
持仓数
KT Rolster ChallengersOverUnder+2
BI5
bit754
事件盈亏
+$110.63
成交量
$2,429.32
持仓数
KT Rolster Challengers
076
0x076d…8d4c
事件盈亏
+$57.92
成交量
$2,306.28
持仓数
KT Rolster Challengers
NI7
Nicksypoo
事件盈亏
-$100.71
成交量
$2,060.39
持仓数
Dplus KIA Challengers
GA8
Gaditima
事件盈亏
+$1.71
成交量
$1,997.22
持仓数
KT Rolster Challengers

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?(6,950%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?(6,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $103.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始