LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$811.7K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
Dplus KIA Challengers 53.5%
DN SOOPers Challengers 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Odd/Even Total Kills 以 5,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $811.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $314.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 3.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,750%):以 5,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Odd/Even Total Kills 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Game 4 Winner (5,650%)、O/U 4.5 Games (5,600%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$314.5K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.5K9995¢-9895¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5750.0%$535750¢-5650¢
4Game 4 Winner5650.0%$1.0K5650¢-5550¢
5O/U 4.5 Games5600.0%$9255600¢-5500¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
33First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%$534850¢-4750¢
39Match Winner3450.0%$109.2K3450¢-3350¢
40Odd/Even Total Kills200.0%$53200¢-100¢
41Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)50.0%$9.1K50¢50¢
42Game 1 Winner5.0%$193.4K5¢95¢
43Game 3 Winner5.0%$173.8K5¢95¢
44Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5)5.0%$4.6K5¢95¢
45Game Handicap: DNS.C (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+2.5)5.0%$305¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:36 AM
    TRtrum985
    $27.27

    Bought 63.418605 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:36 AM
    LIliugong1
    $13.24

    Bought 30.790698 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:36 AM
    SUsuntori
    $76.19

    Bought 131.362069 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.58

  • 11:35 AM
    ANantec
    $81.27

    Bought 189 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:35 AM
    LIlitxunuo5.
    $43.00

    Bought 100 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:35 AM
    SUsuntori
    $19.04

    Bought 56 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.34

  • 11:35 AM
    PDPDWA
    $707.35

    Bought 1645 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:35 AM
    0X0xbef95f3bc965bfc8b2088f94e11301ae2f8c4595-1788422749934
    $24.47

    Bought 36.529412 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.67

  • 11:35 AM
    YIyishiwucheng
    $9.00

    Bought 27.26 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 11:35 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $32.38

    Bought 75.302326 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:34 AM
    MOmo-y
    $107.50

    Bought 250 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:34 AM
    TOtomatofarmer77
    $20.00

    Bought 46.511628 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.43

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MA1
Malfunction.
事件盈亏
+$148.62
成交量
$52,451.52
持仓数
DN SOOPers Challengers
GV2
gvrgb326552g65
事件盈亏
-$6,398.71
成交量
$19,871.59
持仓数
Dplus KIA Challengers
F23
0xF201…4616
事件盈亏
-$4,035.63
成交量
$16,334.28
持仓数
Dplus KIA ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
BA4
baisjex
事件盈亏
-$1,580.80
成交量
$16,068.31
持仓数
DN SOOPers ChallengersDplus KIA Challengers
JA5
jaytee158
事件盈亏
-$5,978.35
成交量
$14,479.71
持仓数
Dplus KIA Challengers
BB6
BBQChickenisthebesttt
事件盈亏
+$3,448.61
成交量
$12,999.89
持仓数
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
事件盈亏
+$3,118.98
成交量
$12,624.43
持仓数
DN SOOPers ChallengersDplus KIA ChallengersUnder+2
AG8
agent2
事件盈亏
+$593.69
成交量
$11,946.20
持仓数
DN SOOPers ChallengersDplus KIA Challengers

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills(5,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $811.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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