LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs

$76.1K Vol
2026年9月1日
Active
概率趋势
The Ruddy Sack 78.5%
Deer Gaming 21.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 6,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,250% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,200% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $76.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,250%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,250¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,200%):以 6,200% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,300%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6200.0%6200¢-6100¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 2.5 Games3850.0%$4.2K3850¢-3750¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
16Game 2 Winner2745.0%$13.9K2745¢-2645¢
17Game 1 Winner2675.0%$16.6K2675¢-2575¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
20Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
21Match Winner2150.0%$42.8K2150¢-2050¢
22Any Player Penta Kill2050.0%2050¢-1950¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Deer Gaming and The Ruddy Sack in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Deer Gaming" if Deer Gaming win the match against The Ruddy Sack.

This market will resolve to "The Ruddy Sack" if The Ruddy Sack win the match against Deer Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 31, 2026

  • 06:15 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $1.15

    Bought 5 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:15 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $1.00

    Bought 4.347825 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:15 AM
    SWSweetAssKasikorn
    $11.00

    Bought 47.81 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:14 AM
    MAmamofaker24
    $25.00

    Bought 108.695651 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:14 AM
    CEcesarcc
    $70.59

    Bought 306.913042 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:09 AM
    KIkir9
    $2.99

    Bought 13 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:09 AM
    0X0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
    $87.82

    Bought 381.826085 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 06:09 AM
    AKakirra
    $72.22

    Bought 314 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 05:54 AM
    NInibnibinibi
    $44.97

    Bought 195.5 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 05:53 AM
    NInibnibinibi
    $44.97

    Bought 195.5 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

  • 05:38 AM
    ASasd2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.78

  • 05:38 AM
    G3g3ros
    $10.00

    Bought 43.478259 Deer Gaming for LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs at 0.23

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MI1
mimi121
事件盈亏
-$233.63
成交量
$23,760.00
持仓数
Deer Gaming
692
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
+$254.80
成交量
$14,107.79
持仓数
The Ruddy SackThe Ruddy SackUnder+1
BL3
bloodmaster
事件盈亏
+$6.27
成交量
$12,889.39
持仓数
The Ruddy Sack
CH4
chaeri
事件盈亏
-$605.67
成交量
$9,548.08
持仓数
Deer GamingDeer GamingDeer Gaming
GO5
Gooooooollllllllll
事件盈亏
+$35.00
成交量
$6,999.99
持仓数
The Ruddy Sack
AL6
alpheclabs
事件盈亏
-$44.06
成交量
$6,569.41
持仓数
Deer GamingDeer GamingDeer Gaming+1
EX7
Excession6
事件盈亏
+$25.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
The Ruddy Sack
AM8
am100
事件盈亏
+$3.63
成交量
$4,901.84
持仓数
The Ruddy SackThe Ruddy SackThe Ruddy Sack+1

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO3) - NLC Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,250%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,200%)。该市场总成交量已达 $76.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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