LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$247.7K Vol
2026年10月13日
Active
概率趋势
LGD Gaming 53.5%
HANJIN BRION 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,150% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 以 5,300% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 5,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $247.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,150%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (5,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 保持着 5,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,300¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,300%):以 5,300% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,150%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,100%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7150.0%$3.7K7150¢-7050¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
32First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
33First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
34First Blood in Game 3?4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$3.7K4950¢-4850¢
36Game 4 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
37First Blood in Game 4?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
39Match Winner4750.0%$166.6K4750¢-4650¢
40Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
41Game 2 Winner4650.0%$8.9K4650¢-4550¢
42Game 1 Winner4450.0%$11.9K4450¢-4350¢
43Game 3 Winner4450.0%$9.2K4450¢-4350¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
47Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)3650.0%$21.3K3650¢-3550¢
48O/U 4.5 Games3350.0%$5.3K3350¢-3250¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?3050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
51Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)1550.0%$17.2K1550¢-1450¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against LGD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 13, 2026

  • 01:03 AM
    121241234sd
    $58.09

    Bought 157 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:00 AM
    WEwert1212
    $49.00

    Sold 100 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.49

  • 01:00 AM
    ROroro30
    $5.10

    Bought 6 HANJIN BRION for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.85

  • 01:00 AM
    FOfoyd
    $10.00

    Bought 62.5 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.16

  • 12:59 AM
    0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
    $3.36

    Bought 21 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.16

  • 12:59 AM
    GNgnosh27
    $10.00

    Bought 62.5 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.16

  • 12:59 AM
    ILiloveu4ever
    $10.38

    Bought 64.9 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.16

  • 12:59 AM
    FOfortnitethegoat667
    $12,859.93

    Bought 15309.44 HANJIN BRION for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.84

  • 12:59 AM
    WAWalmartShrimp
    $96.38

    Bought 602.4 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) at 0.16

  • 12:58 AM
    GNgnosh27
    $10.00

    Bought 27.02 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:58 AM
    ILiloveu4ever
    $21.62

    Bought 58.44 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:58 AM
    FOfortnitethegoat667
    $9,058.15

    Bought 14378.02 HANJIN BRION for Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.63

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

691
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
-$8.42
成交量
$21,117.00
持仓数
UnderLGD GamingLGD Gaming+2
BC2
0xBc43…7816
事件盈亏
+$100.00
成交量
$19,999.80
持仓数
HANJIN BRION
VI3
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$110.22
成交量
$8,715.37
持仓数
LGD Gaming
AM4
am100
事件盈亏
-$49.32
成交量
$7,796.16
持仓数
LGD GamingLGD GamingLGD Gaming+2
DE5
delacsynzy1
事件盈亏
-$99.66
成交量
$6,667.39
持仓数
HANJIN BRION
FB6
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
+$50.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRIONOver
GE7
gejbr
事件盈亏
+$9.49
成交量
$5,515.44
持仓数
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRIONOver+2
YO8
youcanbuythisbot
事件盈亏
-$22.22
成交量
$4,444.00
持仓数
LGD Gaming

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?(5,300%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(5,300%)。该市场总成交量已达 $247.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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