LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

$45.8K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
概率趋势
Bilibili Gaming 76.5%
Anyone's Legend 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 6,600% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,400% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $45.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,600%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $236 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,400% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,400¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%):以 6,400% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,350%)、Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) (5,950%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games6600.0%$2366600¢-6500¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
5Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)5950.0%$9.5K5950¢-5850¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
8First Blood in Game 2?5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%$225200¢-5100¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%$225200¢-5100¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
23Game 4 Winner4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
24First Blood in Game 4?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
25First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4850.0%$104850¢-4750¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
32First Blood in Game 1?4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
33Game 2 Winner3550.0%$793550¢-3450¢
34Game 1 Winner3350.0%$2443350¢-3250¢
35Game 3 Winner3350.0%$143350¢-3250¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
37Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)3050.0%$203050¢-2950¢
38Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3050.0%$223050¢-2950¢
39O/U 4.5 Games2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
42Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%$222850¢-2750¢
43Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
45Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
47Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2700.0%$222700¢-2600¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
51Match Winner2350.0%$35.9K2350¢-2250¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 6, 2026

  • 08:58 AM
    CScsabu44
    $5.10

    Bought 20.4 Anyones Legend for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.25

  • 08:48 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 12.526312 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.76

  • 05:36 AM
    $1.89

    Sold 5.4 Anyones Legend for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.35

  • 05:33 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 5.405404 Anyones Legend for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 05:10 AM
    HUHumbleSpirit
    $171.00

    Bought 300 Bilibili Gaming for Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 05:07 AM
    0X0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4z
    $150.25

    Bought 200.33 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

  • 04:56 AM
    IDIDNSIDNS
    $1.50

    Bought 2 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

  • 04:56 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $2.80

    Bought 3.733332 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

  • 04:56 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

  • 04:56 AM
    5Z5z7p5v56zmnb
    $3.00

    Bought 4 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

  • 04:56 AM
    I4i47enc93k6x4
    $3.00

    Bought 4 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

  • 04:56 AM
    T5t57vk6tx8rwb
    $12.53

    Bought 16.706664 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs at 0.75

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

0E1
0x0efe…7883
事件盈亏
-$52.34
成交量
$11,807.62
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming
HY2
HYHY111
事件盈亏
-$42.48
成交量
$9,116.27
持仓数
Anyone's Legend
VI3
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$195.91
成交量
$5,377.62
持仓数
Bilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
AN4
Anjun
事件盈亏
+$63.92
成交量
$4,261.13
持仓数
Anyone's Legend
NI5
Nicksypoo
事件盈亏
-$190.14
成交量
$4,225.53
持仓数
Anyone's Legend
BA6
Barrbacuda
事件盈亏
-$52.24
成交量
$3,482.62
持仓数
Anyone's Legend
VV7
vvyvv
事件盈亏
+$41.38
成交量
$2,758.67
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming
ER8
erzhuron
事件盈亏
-$12.98
成交量
$2,597.40
持仓数
Bilibili Gaming

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 6,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,400%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,400%)。该市场总成交量已达 $45.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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