M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong

$200.4K Vol
2026年9月19日
Active
概率趋势
Keisuke Saitoh 100.0%
Seongchan Hong 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $200.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong (9,995%):M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $212.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong9995.0%$212.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$8.4K9995¢-9895¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Keisuke Saitoh and Seongchan Hong in the M25 Sapporo, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Keisuke Saitoh' if Keisuke Saitoh advances against Seongchan Hong.

This market will resolve to 'Seongchan Hong' if Seongchan Hong advances against Keisuke Saitoh.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 12:08 AM
    HUHUB-1
    $21.00

    Sold 700 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.03

Sep 11, 2026

  • 06:41 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $35.00

    Bought 700 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.05

  • 06:40 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $13.20

    Sold 660 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.02

  • 06:37 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $33.00

    Bought 660 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.05

  • 06:37 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $11.00

    Sold 550 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.02

  • 06:34 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $27.50

    Bought 550 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.05

  • 06:33 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $12.80

    Sold 640 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.02

  • 06:30 PM
    HUHUB-1
    $32.00

    Bought 640 No for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.05

  • 03:10 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $29.07

    Sold 323 Yes for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.09

  • 03:03 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $316.54

    Bought 323 Yes for M25 Sapporo, Main Draw: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong at 0.98

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SA1
SANECKO
事件盈亏
+$377.30
成交量
$770.00
持仓数
No
DA2
daylemicke
事件盈亏
-$377.30
成交量
$770.00
持仓数
Yes
HU3
HUB-1
事件盈亏
+$217.00
成交量
$120.32
持仓数
No
5B4
0x5bc2…3e11
事件盈亏
-$53.90
成交量
$110.00
持仓数
Yes
FO5
foregein
事件盈亏
+$53.90
成交量
$110.00
持仓数
No
EF6
efvsfvsv09
事件盈亏
+$41.86
成交量
$89.07
持仓数
Yes
AJ7
AJSV
事件盈亏
+$11.50
成交量
$25.00
持仓数
Yes
CA8
carelia
事件盈亏
+$2.69
成交量
$6.25
持仓数
Yes

常见问题

当前市场对「M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $200.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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