M25 Austin, TX: Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling

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2026年10月20日
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概率趋势
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核心摘要

根据「M25 Austin, TX: Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Karl Poling 以压倒性的 5,100% 获胜概率主导市场;Aidan Mchugh 以 4,900% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Karl Poling (5,100%):Karl Poling 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Aidan Mchugh (4,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,Aidan Mchugh 保持着 4,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,900¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Karl Poling5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
2Aidan Mchugh4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mchugh and Karl Poling in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mchugh' if Aidan Mchugh advances against Karl Poling.

This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Aidan Mchugh.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「M25 Austin, TX: Aidan Mchugh vs Karl Poling」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Karl Poling 以 5,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Aidan Mchugh(4,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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