M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov

$106.3K Vol
2026年9月30日
Active
概率趋势
Aristarkh Safonov 99.7%
Keshav Chopra 0.4%

核心摘要

根据「M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 50% 获胜概率主导市场;M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov 以 35% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $106.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (50%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 50¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov (35%):作为最可行的替代选项,M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov 保持着 35% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 35¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match50.0%50¢50¢
2M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov35.0%$106.3K35¢65¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Keshav Chopra and Aristarkh Safonov in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Keshav Chopra' if Keshav Chopra advances against Aristarkh Safonov.

This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Keshav Chopra.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 23, 2026

  • 08:42 AM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $30.00

    Bought 34.482753 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.87

  • 07:49 AM
    PGpgktrio2
    $3.99

    Bought 26.6 Aristarkh Safonov for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.15

  • 04:24 AM
    APApuuuuh
    $4.00

    Bought 5 Under 2.5 for Keshav Chopra vs. Aristarkh Safonov: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.8

  • 04:24 AM
    $42.50

    Bought 50 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.85

  • 04:24 AM
    APApuuuuh
    $3.50

    Bought 5.072464 Keshav Chopra for Set Handicap: Keshav Chopra (-1.5) vs Aristarkh Safonov (+1.5) at 0.69

  • 03:11 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $42.50

    Bought 50 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.85

  • 02:52 AM
    MYmymilly
    $1.56

    Bought 1.81 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.86

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

XY1
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase
事件盈亏
+$20,905.32
成交量
$48,600.54
持仓数
Aristarkh Safonov
E92
0xE911…6286
事件盈亏
-$15,449.64
成交量
$38,099.71
持仓数
Keshav Chopra
B53
0xB595…6105
事件盈亏
+$169.00
成交量
$26,000.00
持仓数
Aristarkh Safonov
944
0x94d6…3469
事件盈亏
-$149.94
成交量
$23,068.00
持仓数
Keshav Chopra
ID5
Idoitsolololololol
事件盈亏
+$1,177.49
成交量
$14,587.80
持仓数
Aristarkh Safonov
AR6
arman1969
事件盈亏
-$72.00
成交量
$11,111.00
持仓数
Keshav Chopra
SE7
serebon12
事件盈亏
-$32.50
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Keshav Chopra
PO8
poshposh
事件盈亏
-$1,801.60
成交量
$2,553.53
持仓数
Keshav Chopra

常见问题

当前市场对「M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 50% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov(35%)。该市场总成交量已达 $106.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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