W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska

2026年9月17日
Active
概率趋势
Zuzanna Bednarz 50.5%
Barbara Straszewska 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska 以压倒性的 8,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska (8,650%):W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska8650.0%8650¢-8550¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Match O/U 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Match O/U 22.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Match O/U 23.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Bednarz and Barbara Straszewska in the W15 Radom, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Barbara Straszewska.

This market will resolve to 'Barbara Straszewska' if Barbara Straszewska advances against Zuzanna Bednarz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska 以 8,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 W15 Radom: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Barbara Straszewska Set 1 Winner(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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