Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

根据「Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Angie Nixon (D) 以压倒性的 4,250% 获胜概率主导市场；Ashley Moody (R) 以 4,250% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Angie Nixon (D) (4,250%)：Angie Nixon (D) 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,250¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Ashley Moody (R) (4,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Ashley Moody (R) 保持着 4,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,250¢。

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.