Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$603.3K Vol
2026年10月7日
Active
概率趋势
Blasterbl 100.0%
Yellow Submarine 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Ends in Daytime 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $603.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Ends in Daytime 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%),以及 Any Player Rampage (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Game Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Game Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)50.0%$75250¢50¢
8Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Blasterbl (+1.5)35.0%$46535¢65¢
9Match Winner5.0%$278.7K5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Yellow Submarine and Blasterbl in the PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Blasterbl.

This market will resolve to "Blasterbl" if Blasterbl win the match against Yellow Submarine.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 7, 2026

  • 01:40 PM
    PIpipipi150
    $1,054.01

    Sold 1054.01 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:37 PM
    ——
    $1.56

    Sold 1.56 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:33 PM
    NINinjajar
    $200.00

    Sold 200 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:32 PM
    JEjensond
    $10.00

    Sold 10 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:31 PM
    10100to1001
    $28.57

    Sold 28.57 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:27 PM
    0X0x7D33d1c518b1DcbcE1248E651e03cA630B716715-1778086783183
    $40.00

    Sold 40 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:27 PM
    AGaggerrr
    $217.00

    Sold 217 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:27 PM
    SKSKXLVRK
    $250.12

    Sold 250.12 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:22 PM
    CHchampion50to10000
    $299.97

    Sold 299.97 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:13 PM
    KAKatetsulmao
    $10.63

    Sold 10.63 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:12 PM
    GRGrimFable
    $362.40

    Sold 362.4 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

  • 01:09 PM
    10100D10000T
    $25.00

    Sold 25 Blasterbl for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

E11
0xE16D…0592
事件盈亏
-$374.82
成交量
$57,950.84
持仓数
Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine
PI2
pipipi150
事件盈亏
+$275.39
成交量
$19,443.39
持仓数
Yellow Submarine
443
0x4468…4625
事件盈亏
-$986.49
成交量
$17,769.33
持仓数
Blasterbl
VI4
vibing123
事件盈亏
-$550.18
成交量
$10,003.48
持仓数
Blasterbl
SA5
sashasasha5
事件盈亏
-$2,517.36
成交量
$7,199.98
持仓数
Blasterbl
DR6
drunkdegenerate
事件盈亏
-$385.00
成交量
$7,000.00
持仓数
Blasterbl
047
0x048f…9992
事件盈亏
-$7.25
成交量
$5,499.99
持仓数
Blasterbl
JU8
justanother1
事件盈亏
+$1,192.89
成交量
$4,905.40
持仓数
Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Ends in Daytime(5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $603.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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