Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

$481.3K Vol
2026年9月9日
Active
概率趋势
GamerLegion 100.0%
MOUZ 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Any Player Ultra Kill 以 9,950% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $481.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $101 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Any Player Ultra Kill 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Ends in Daytime 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)、Any Player Rampage (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (3,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Match Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1019995¢-9895¢
2Any Player Ultra Kill9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
3Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
7Match Winner5.0%$118.8K95¢
8Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)5.0%$1.1K95¢
9Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)5.0%95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and GamerLegion in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against MOUZ.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:23 PM
    SYsyn.
    $171.77

    Sold 171.77 MOUZ for Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) at 1

  • 11:19 PM
    0X0xBEA339f4827B2bf121d57324Bbf1191E7D03917b-1788905704630
    $2.10

    Bought 5 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:19 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $16.52

    Bought 28 GamerLegion for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:19 PM
    DOdotanoob
    $58.82

    Bought 143.46 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:19 PM
    FRfreund1kk
    $2.91

    Bought 7.097561 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:18 PM
    0X0xCBA486Ce376f4A7CE10E98b3c278210B9352756d-1783288840742
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 GamerLegion for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.6

  • 11:18 PM
    TRtracyyang
    $73.14

    Bought 121.9 GamerLegion for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.6

  • 11:18 PM
    DOdotanoob
    $51.44

    Sold 128.61 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.4

  • 11:18 PM
    SUsuntori
    $189.60

    Bought 462.440698 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.41

  • 11:18 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $8.26

    Bought 14 GamerLegion for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:18 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $8.40

    Bought 14 GamerLegion for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.6

  • 11:18 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $3.60

    Bought 6 GamerLegion for Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs at 0.6

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LH1
LhordGryffin
事件盈亏
+$12.73
成交量
$22,381.11
持仓数
GamerLegion
CY2
CyberScore.live
事件盈亏
-$6,292.41
成交量
$14,999.88
持仓数
MOUZ
SK3
Skritopoolniy
事件盈亏
+$6,416.50
成交量
$13,443.90
持仓数
GamerLegion
PR4
PROBABILITYTRADER
事件盈亏
+$4,627.16
成交量
$11,043.18
持仓数
GamerLegion
5F5
0x5f30…2815
事件盈亏
+$636.14
成交量
$5,556.98
持仓数
GamerLegion
DE6
densmylove
事件盈亏
-$2,409.89
成交量
$5,443.01
持仓数
MOUZ
GY7
gys-bot
事件盈亏
-$1,312.89
成交量
$4,429.90
持仓数
MOUZMOUZ
F38
0xf3ce…a57a
事件盈亏
-$1,962.97
成交量
$4,324.38
持仓数
MOUZ

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Any Player Ultra Kill(9,950%),以及 Ends in Daytime(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $481.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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