Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar

$88K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
Alejandro Tabilo 50.5%
Rafael Jodar 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Alejandro Tabilo 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场；Rafael Jodar 以 4,950% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $88K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Alejandro Tabilo (5,050%)：Alejandro Tabilo 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Rafael Jodar (4,950%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Rafael Jodar 保持着 4,950% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,950¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Alejandro Tabilo5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Rafael Jodar4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar in the Davis Cup, originally scheduled for September 20 at 12:10PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 20, 2026

  • 10:46 AM
    0X0x2cD08Fd366105BcaF5B1e049461ABEF08c74F897-1782143691535
    $20.00

    Bought 27.027026 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.74

  • 10:12 AM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $30.00

    Bought 40.540538 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.74

  • 10:10 AM
    0X0x00ea1751087c45d23c76d772A47552BAf0B55845-1771607439141
    $3.70

    Bought 5 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.74

  • 10:05 AM
    STStableTuna
    $12.72

    Bought 48.93 Alejandro Tabilo for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.26

  • 09:19 AM
    BAbahsperiamobene
    $70.00

    Bought 93.333332 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:56 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:45 AM
    0X0x1039D34fcb3BD1a83622B7D3C590509cBbDF2914-1762054261082
    $13.40

    Bought 17.87 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:44 AM
    PEpekpym
    $3.00

    Bought 4 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:43 AM
    ——
    $678.22

    Bought 904.293332 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:42 AM
    TCtcjoness
    $43.75

    Bought 58.333332 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:42 AM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $50.00

    Bought 66.666664 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

  • 08:41 AM
    LClcm-3
    $19.57

    Bought 26.093332 Rafael Jodar for Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar at 0.75

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

DX1
dxe
事件盈亏
-$496.68
成交量
$27,481.86
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
SI2
simbich
事件盈亏
+$30.45
成交量
$6,089.08
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
ST3
Stavenson
事件盈亏
+$126.16
成交量
$5,730.91
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
474
0x479E…2692
事件盈亏
-$377.63
成交量
$5,517.49
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
DR5
DrStatistics
事件盈亏
-$100.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
IT6
itsonlyamatteroftime
事件盈亏
-$97.29
成交量
$3,891.46
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
IM7
imake1mil
事件盈亏
-$69.86
成交量
$2,588.91
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
078
0x076d…8d4c
事件盈亏
-$31.65
成交量
$2,587.23
持仓数
Rafael Jodar

常见问题

当前市场对「Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Alejandro Tabilo 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Rafael Jodar（4,950%）。该市场总成交量已达 $88K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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