Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A

$75.6K Vol
2026年9月18日
Active
概率趋势
NIP 55.5%
Luminosity 44.5%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以压倒性的 4,900% 获胜概率主导市场;Match Winner 以 4,450% 位居第二,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) 以 3,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $75.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,900%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Match Winner (4,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,Match Winner 保持着 4,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,450¢。
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) (3,550%):以 3,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
2Match Winner4450.0%$75.6K4450¢-4350¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)3550.0%3550¢-3450¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and NIP in the Logitech G Play Connect Group A, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against NIP.

This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Luminosity.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 16, 2026

  • 05:23 PM
    TRTruRip
    $29.00

    Bought 54.716982 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.53

  • 04:15 PM
    NBnbs8
    $14.70

    Bought 30 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.49

  • 10:12 AM
    DJDjoko21
    $49.95

    Bought 92.5 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.54

  • 02:11 AM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $99.90

    Bought 188.488889 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.53

  • 02:04 AM
    LULucasBobato
    $80.53

    Bought 149.131667 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.54

  • 02:04 AM
    LEletshope
    $5.64

    Bought 10.44 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.54

Sep 15, 2026

  • 07:46 PM
    RERespwnz
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.53

Sep 14, 2026

  • 04:10 PM
    DUDumplingBMF
    $14.40

    Bought 29.99 Luminosity for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.48

Sep 13, 2026

  • 07:18 PM
    BBBBQbenz
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857143 NIP for Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A at 0.56

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

291
0x29b5…63d7
事件盈亏
+$198.75
成交量
$16,945.82
持仓数
NIP
CS2
CS2-Quant
事件盈亏
-$176.83
成交量
$11,845.61
持仓数
Luminosity
WI3
Wiretransferxyz
事件盈亏
+$45.47
成交量
$8,694.61
持仓数
Luminosity
ST4
Stickman22
事件盈亏
+$4.18
成交量
$3,999.98
持仓数
Luminosity
AB5
0xAbF5…1494
事件盈亏
-$12.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持仓数
NIP
SE6
sentrio
事件盈亏
-$6.70
成交量
$1,472.30
持仓数
NIP
JA7
Jarod21
事件盈亏
+$16.98
成交量
$1,132.04
持仓数
NIP
308
300PS
事件盈亏
-$8.54
成交量
$569.00
持仓数
Luminosity

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 4,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Match Winner(4,450%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)(3,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $75.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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