Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In

$335.2K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
概率趋势
NAVI Junior 100.0%
Falcons Force 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $335.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (9,950%)、Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-3.5) vs NAVI Junior (+3.5) (50%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-6.5) vs NAVI Junior (+6.5) (50%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-9.5) vs NAVI Junior (+9.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$39995¢-9895¢
2Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-3.5) vs NAVI Junior (+3.5)50.0%$4850¢50¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-6.5) vs NAVI Junior (+6.5)50.0%50¢50¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-9.5) vs NAVI Junior (+9.5)50.0%50¢50¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550.0%50¢50¢
9Match Winner5.0%$256.0K95¢
10Map Handicap: FAL.F (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)5.0%$62095¢
11Map Handicap: NAVI.J (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)5.0%$1895¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Falcons Force and NAVI Junior in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Falcons Force" if Falcons Force win the match against NAVI Junior.

This market will resolve to "NAVI Junior" if NAVI Junior win the match against Falcons Force.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 14, 2026

  • 11:21 AM
    PSPS003
    $200.00

    Bought 357.142856 Falcons Force for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.56

  • 11:14 AM
    RORolland1984R
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 NAVI Junior for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.45

  • 11:04 AM
    KOko1ten
    $25.00

    Bought 55.555556 NAVI Junior for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.45

  • 11:03 AM
    MAMasterLilMargins
    $182.03

    Bought 330.97 Falcons Force for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.55

  • 10:41 AM
    MAmariangolts
    $11.00

    Bought 20 Falcons Force for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.55

  • 10:07 AM
    $9.36

    Bought 17.018182 Falcons Force for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.55

  • 09:54 AM
    OHOhMyD0nkk
    $20.00

    Bought 36.363637 Falcons Force for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.55

  • 09:53 AM
    MAMarlaSinger1999
    $46.00

    Bought 100 NAVI Junior for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.46

  • 09:47 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 5.181817 Falcons Force for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.55

  • 09:22 AM
    DIDivinev
    $18.20

    Bought 40.45 NAVI Junior for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.45

  • 09:19 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.04

    Bought 2.311112 NAVI Junior for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.45

  • 09:13 AM
    SUsunjure
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 NAVI Junior for Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In at 0.45

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SS1
SS787878
事件盈亏
+$7,341.54
成交量
$23,868.85
持仓数
Falcons Force
B72
0xb778…1108
事件盈亏
+$8,019.76
成交量
$15,591.96
持仓数
Falcons Force
BB3
0xbbf3…0738
事件盈亏
-$2,253.93
成交量
$7,030.61
持仓数
NAVI Junior
NU4
0xNuttawut
事件盈亏
-$1,800.23
成交量
$5,218.07
持仓数
NAVI Junior
HE5
headshottwotwothree
事件盈亏
-$2,299.19
成交量
$4,252.06
持仓数
NAVI Junior
GO6
goodwhiteboy
事件盈亏
+$1,228.69
成交量
$4,007.89
持仓数
Falcons Force
OW7
owlgorithm-beta
事件盈亏
+$2.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
NAVI Junior
KE8
KENSi322
事件盈亏
-$1,183.84
成交量
$2,999.99
持仓数
NAVI Junior

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-In」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,950%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $335.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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