Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

$40K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
概率趋势
BetBoom Team 53.5%
BIG 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,050% 位居第二,Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $40K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,050%):Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) (5,050%):以 5,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,950%)、Map 1 Winner (4,850%),以及 Map 2 Winner (4,650%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Match Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5Map 1 Winner4850.0%$4844850¢-4750¢
6Map 2 Winner4650.0%$2834650¢-4550¢
7Match Winner4650.0%$39.3K4650¢-4550¢
8O/U 2.5 Games4650.0%$134650¢-4550¢
9Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
10Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)3050.0%$93050¢-2950¢
12Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)2950.0%$202950¢-2850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between BIG and BetBoom Team in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against BetBoom Team.

This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against BIG.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:23 PM
    LUludo-money
    $7.14

    Bought 14.875 BIG for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.48

  • 08:23 PM
    $94.83

    Bought 178.924529 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.53

  • 08:19 PM
    $2.72

    Sold 5.24 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.52

  • 08:03 PM
    AMameamezzz
    $15.00

    Bought 28.301887 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.53

  • 08:03 PM
    LUludo-money
    $1.12

    Bought 2.333334 BIG for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.48

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4C5-1771629524936
    $3.75

    Bought 7.82 BIG for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.48

  • 08:02 PM
    LUludo-money
    $12.80

    Bought 26.666667 BIG for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.48

  • 08:02 PM
    AMameamezzz
    $170.00

    Bought 320.754717 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.53

  • 07:48 PM
    $1.88

    Bought 3.54717 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.53

  • 07:24 PM
    TRTruRip
    $26.00

    Bought 49.056604 BetBoom Team for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.53

  • 07:24 PM
    LUludo-money
    $1.95

    Bought 4.0625 BIG for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.48

  • 06:38 PM
    LUludo-money
    $1.07

    Bought 2.229165 BIG for Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

IT1
itwillallbeok
事件盈亏
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$9,567.42
持仓数
BetBoom Team
VI2
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$153.99
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$8,624.82
持仓数
BIG
HU3
humbleboy
事件盈亏
-$26.62
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$8,175.70
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EX4
Excession6
事件盈亏
+$1.33
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
BIG
PS5
PS003
事件盈亏
-$20.75
成交量
$4,150.94
持仓数
BetBoom Team
ST6
Stickman22
事件盈亏
-$69.99
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
BetBoom Team
OR7
Ornnstar
事件盈亏
+$4.93
成交量
$2,594.48
持仓数
BetBoom Team
XR8
xreborn
事件盈亏
-$61.09
成交量
$2,241.58
持仓数
BetBoom Team

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,050%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)(5,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $40K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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