T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe
核心摘要
根据「T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss? 以压倒性的 9,100% 获胜概率主导市场；T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe 以 8,400% 位居第二，T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Completed match? 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $176.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss? (9,100%)：T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss? 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,100¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $96 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe (8,400%)：作为最可行的替代选项，T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe 保持着 8,400% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,400¢。
- T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Completed match? (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Completed match? 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss? | 9100.0% | $96 | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 2 | T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe | 8400.0% | $191.0K | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 3 | T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Completed match? | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Zimbabwe scheduled for September 6 2026 at 8:00 AM ET in T20 Namibia Tri-Series.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 6, 2026
- 08:19 AMBIBitjana$78.00
Bought 100 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.78
- 06:53 AMADadamklopp21$100.00
Bought 128.205127 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.78
- 06:49 AMRORO2yzDVl$0.12
Sold 0.56 Zimbabwe for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.22
- 06:48 AMLElesliepeters$4.00
Bought 5.128204 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.78
- 06:27 AM0X0x6daae04265d65cb2aae7fe6db4210568de7d954a-1783406213213$1.53
Bought 6.66 Zimbabwe for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.23
- 06:24 AMAAAayanshSah$5.75
Bought 7.46753 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.77
- 06:21 AMMOmohit22$7.01
Bought 9.1 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.77
- 06:02 AMSASAIYANGOKU$23.93
Bought 104.0475 Zimbabwe for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.23
- 05:27 AMVAvaibhavkhanna$1.00
Bought 1.28205 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.78
- 04:13 AMRArabby10$10,780.00
Bought 14000 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.77
- 03:59 AMYOYosooooooo$15.00
Bought 19.480517 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.77
- 01:53 AMANannuvi0916$7.70
Bought 10 South Africa for T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe at 0.77
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss? 以 9,100% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe（8,400%），以及 T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe - Completed match?（5,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 $176.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。