Pro Football: Christian McCaffrey 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards

$1.5K Vol
2027年1月13日
Active
概率趋势
574.5+ rushing yards 82.5%
774.5+ rushing yards 61.0%
974.5+ rushing yards 41.0%
1,174.5+ rushing yards 29.5%
1,374.5+ rushing yards 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「Pro Football: Christian McCaffrey 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,574.5+ rushing yards 以压倒性的 8,250% 获胜概率主导市场;774.5+ rushing yards 以 6,100% 位居第二,974.5+ rushing yards 以 4,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 574.5+ rushing yards (8,250%):574.5+ rushing yards 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 774.5+ rushing yards (6,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,774.5+ rushing yards 保持着 6,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,100¢。
  • 974.5+ rushing yards (4,100%):以 4,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 974.5+ rushing yards 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1,174.5+ rushing yards (2,950%),以及 1,374.5+ rushing yards (850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1,174.5+ rushing yards 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1574.5+ rushing yards8250.0%$1.2K8250¢-8150¢
2774.5+ rushing yards6100.0%$1446100¢-6000¢
3974.5+ rushing yards4100.0%$234100¢-4000¢
41,174.5+ rushing yards2950.0%$232950¢-2850¢
51,374.5+ rushing yards850.0%$111850¢-750¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards Christian McCaffrey records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Christian McCaffrey does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards Christian McCaffrey recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Pro Football: Christian McCaffrey 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,574.5+ rushing yards 以 8,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 774.5+ rushing yards(6,100%),以及 974.5+ rushing yards(4,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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